Buffalo Bills vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 11/25/2021 NFL Picks, Best Bets and Tips Week 12

by Josh Schonwald - 11/22/2021

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Game: Buffalo Bills vs New Orleans Saints

Date: Thursday, November 25, 2021

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Saints (+4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 51

Caesars Superdome is the site where the New Orleans Saints (5-5) will go up against the Buffalo Bills (6-4) on Thursday. New Orleans opens as 4.5-point underdogs. The betting total comes in at 51.

The Buffalo Bills step onto the field holding a record of 6-4 this season. In their last game, the Bills played the Colts and ended up losing by a score of 41-15. Matt Breida was the best rusher for the Bills with 5 attempts for 51 yards (10.2 yds per carry). Dawson Knox had an average of 13.3 yards per catch by totaling 80 yards on 6 catches. Josh Allen went 21/35 with 209 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 72.2 and ended the contest with 2 interceptions. In the running game, the Bills gave up 264 yds on 46 attempts, which is an average of 5.7 yds per run surrendered. Buffalo relinquished 11 completions on 20 attempts for a total of 106 yards, and a completion percentage of 55.0%. When all was said and done, they ran 54 plays which totaled 307 yards. The Buffalo Bills ended up rushing 13 times and totaled 91 yds, which had them averaging 7.0 yds per carry.

Concerning scoring, the Buffalo Bills are averaging 29.5 points per outing. Offensively they average 118.8 yards in the run game ranking them 12th in the league. The Bills have tallied 3,917 total yards this season. Buffalo has 145 first downs, and they have been hurt by 75 penalties for 661 yds. They have surrendered the football 14 different times (9 picks and 5 fumbles). In terms of scoring, Buffalo has compiled 21 touchdowns through the air and 12 touchdowns on the ground.

The Bills rank 2nd in the league concerning team defense, allowing 17.6 points per contest. They are allowing 4.1 yards per rushing attempt and 101.9 rushing yards per game over the course of this season. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 1,019 rushing yards through 10 contests. When it comes to passing yardage, the Bills have surrendered 1,818 yards which puts them in 1st in the league. They are giving up 181.8 yards per contest through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 57.7%. Over the course of this year, they are granting 283.7 yards per game which puts them 1st in the NFL. They have given up 7 touchdowns through the air in addition to 11 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Saints come into this matchup with a record of 5-5 for this year. In their last game, the Saints took a loss by a final score of 40-29 when they played the Eagles. Mark Ingram ran the ball 16 times for 88 yds, walking away from the contest with 5.5 yds per attempt for New Orleans. Tre'Quan Smith was the top contributor in the passing game for the Saints, hauling in 5 throws for 64 yards (12.8 yds per reception). Trevor Siemian (3 TDs) ended the contest with 214 yards on 22/40 through the air while his quarterback rating was 74.4. He tossed 2 picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.35 yds. New Orleans conceded 50 running attempts for 242 yds (4.8 yds per rush). The Saints secondary allowed a completion percentage of 54.2%, surrendering 138 yds on 13 out of 24 passing. The Saints finished with a total of 323 yards and they ran 62 plays (5.2 yards per play). New Orleans ran the ball for 5.0 yds per attempt, finishing the game with 109 yards on 22 attempts.

In relation to their scoring prowess, the Saints currently rank 14th in the NFL holding an average of 25.1 points per game. During this campaign thus far, the Saints have a total of 2,034 passing yards not to mention holding an average of 203.4 throwing yards per contest, which ranks 26th in football. They average 117.9 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,179 yards for the year. The New Orleans Saints maintain an average of 321.3 yards per contest ranking them 24th out of all teams in the NFL. The New Orleans offense has compiled 510 penalty yards on 61 infractions, which is 21st in the NFL in terms of helping out the opposition. They have tossed 6 picks while conceding 5 fumbles and they have been able to earn 111 1st downs.

The Saints are giving up 21.8 points per game, ranking them 10th of all teams in the NFL. New Orleans has surrendered a total of 898 yards on the ground (89.8 yards per game) as well as 9 touchdowns rushing this season. They have allowed 13 touchdowns through the air and 252.2 yards per outing, ranking them 22nd in the NFL. The Saints defense has been on the field for 636 plays, which is 14th in football. This season, they have allowed 218 points in total. Their defense has tallied 14 takeaways (3 fumbles and 11 picks) this year.

Who will win tonight's Bills/Saints NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bills -4.5

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Buffalo Bills vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 11/25/2021 NFL Picks, Best Bets and Tips Week 12

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