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Seattle Seahawks vs Green Bay Packers Expert Betting Picks for Best Props on Board


by Chris Vasile - 1/8/2020

Russell Wilson Seattle Seahawks

Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers; Lambeau Field, 6:40 p.m. EST. Jan 12, 2020.

It wasn't the most aesthetically pleasing game I've ever seen, but the Seattle Seahawks went into Philadelphia and managed to come away with a 19-7 win against the Eagles, who were forced to play without Carson Wentz for the three quarters thanks to a cheap shot by Jadeveon Clowney. The Seahawks now get to go to the Lambeau Field for a chance to get back in an NFC title game for the first time since 2014, when they beat the Packers in the title game only to lose to the Patriots in the Super Bowl. From a statistical point of view, the Seahawks are a solid team on offense, ranking eighth in total yards, 14th in passing yards, fourth in rushing yards, ninth in points and 16 th in third-down percentage. They are led, as always, by Russell Wilson, who if it wasn't for Lamar Jackson would win the MVP trophy going away. The Seahawks defense leaves a lot to be desired as they rank 26th in yards allowed, 27th in passing yards, 22nd in rushing yards, 22nd in points and 16 th in third-down percentage.

As for the Packers, somehow, someway they got to 13-3 and managed a bye for the first week of the playoffs. Most people I talk to call this Packers team fraudulent and one of the luckiest teams they've seen in a while, but sometimes being lucky is better than being good. The Packers simply do not "wow" you from a statistical perspective on either side of the football, but they have intangibles and they also have Aaron Rodgers under center. Offensively, the Packers rank 18th in total yards, 17th in passing yards, 15th in rushing yards, 15 th in points per game and 21st in third-down conversions. Defensively, the sit 18th in total yards allowed, 14th in passing yards allowed, 23rd in rushing yards, ninth in points allowed and 15th in stopping teams on third down.

As of writing this, the Packers are four-point favorites against the Seahawks, with the total set at 46.5. If I had to bet a side, I'd lean to the Seahawks because betting against Wilson and Pete Carroll in a must-win game is not a wise choice. However, Aaron Rodgers doesn't lose at home, so I'm a bit conflicted. Instead, I've found a few prop bets that I'll be playing for this contest.

Team Total Points - Green Bay Packers "Over" 13.5 First Half Points (+110)

I do believe this game is going to be a high-scoring contest, and what better way to get the game started than a first-half total bet. At home, the Packers simply do not lose. They went 7-1 this year at Lambeau Field. And in those games, they've scored more than 14 points six times. While they may not wow you from a stats perspective, Rodgers finally has his weapons healthy and with an extra week of rest, ready to go and perform to the best of their abilities. Aaron Jones has been an absolute beast this year, and Davante Adams has logged more than 90 yards receiving and three touchdowns over his last three games. The weapons will be on full display for the Packers, and we don't think the Seahawks will be able to stop them. We saw the Eagles move the ball up and down the field last week with Josh McCown, but they couldn't find the endzone. That all changes this week with a competent quarterback, and we see the Packers scoring a quick 14 points.

Any Time Touchdown Scorer - Davante Adams (-110)

To piggyback off the above prop, we see the Packers scoring points early, and there is no other way they'd want to do so than by getting their No. 1 receiver involved in the game early and often. Adams had a bit of a down year by his lofty standards due to injury. However, over his last three games, he's played extremely well and put up 93, 116 and 103 yards, respectively, while finding the end zone twice. We don't believe that the Seahawks have the personnel to match up with Adams as when he's healthy he's one of the best receivers in the game. We'd prefer a plus-money price tag, but we'll take the -110 on the anytime touchdown. If you want to get risky, you can grab Adams as the first Packers touchdown scorer at +400.

Longest Field Goal Scored - "Under" 46.5 (-120)

I don't know about you, but I get anxious when I think about relying on a kicker to make a big kick in an outdoor playoff game. This is why we are taking the under in this spot as we have Jason Myers and Mason Crosby - both of which have been shaky at best all season long. We don't see Seattle settling for many field goals against a bad Packers defense, while we don't see Crosby hit a 47-yard field goal at any point during the game. Crosby has gone four straight games without making a field goal longer than 46 yards, and we don't see the Packers settling for field goals should they be in that "no-mans" land on the field. The weather also figured to be an issue with the temperature hovering around 20 degrees Celsius with a 40 percent chance of snow. I'll take the under in this spot and hope both coaches stay aggressive given their offensive personnel.

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