Sean Woodson vs Julian Erosa Predictions, Picks, UFC Vegas 4 Odds

by Tony Sink - 6/26/2020

Sean Woodson vs Julian Erosa

UFC Vegas 4

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, June 27, 2020

Sean Woodson will face off against Julian Erosa at UFC Vegas 4 at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV on Saturday, June 27, 2020. The moneyline has Woodson coming in at -450 while Erosa is at +360.

Sean "The Sniper" Woodson has a mark of 7-0-0. The 28-year-old weighs 145 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 78". Julian "Juicy J" Erosa measures in at 6'1" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 22-9-0. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 74". In terms of significant strikes, Sean Woodson is landing 5.27 per min and Julian Erosa is connecting on 4.18 significant strikes per minute. Woodson is connecting on 43% of the significant strikes he tries and Erosa lands 45%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "The Sniper" allows 2.29 significant strikes per min while "Juicy J" takes 5.04. Woodson also stops 70% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Erosa thwarts 50% of the strikes thrown his way.

In the category of takedowns, Sean Woodson is not as efficient of a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rounds. Woodson is taking his opponents to the canvas on 10% of the times he tries and defending 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Erosa is finishing his takedown attempts on 60% of his takedown attempts and is defending 58% of the attempts against him. When it comes to going for the sub, Woodson is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.4 submissions per 15 min while Erosa goes for 0.8 submissions per 3 rds.

In his last fight, Sean Woodson went up against Kyle Bochniak and took home the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Bochniak landed 52 of 161 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Woodson walked away from this fight having landed 150 of 290 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Bochniak landed 42 of 151, giving him a percentage of 27%. He finished the fight landing 17 of 113 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Woodson landed 44% of his significant strikes by sticking 111 of 251. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 93 of 231 to the head. 76% of the significant strikes connected on by Bochniak and 93% of them connected on by Woodson were done at a distance.

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In the last fight for Julian Erosa, he battled Julio Arce and ended up walking away in defeat by way of a kick to the head in round 3. Arce connected on 95% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Erosa landed 90% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Erosa connected on 26% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 43 of 160. He ended up landing 23 of 129 significant strikes directed at the head. Arce connected on 74 of 160 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 61 of 142 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he threw in that fight, Arce ended up connecting on 74 of 160 and Erosa landed 46 of 164 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Luis Pena faces off with Khama Worthy. Pena walks into the cage with a mark of 8-2-0. The 26-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 75". Worthy comes in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 15-6-0. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 74". When it comes to grappling, Luis Pena is able to score a takedown 1.00 times per 15 minutes while Khama Worthy gets a takedown 0.30 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Pena is landing 3.32 strikes per min and lands 46% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Khama Worthy, who is landing 41% of the strikes he attempts and connects for an average of 4.94 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Tanner Boser is set to square up in the Octagon with Philipe Lins. Lins looks to add a win to his total of 14-4-0. The 34-year-old is weighing in at 240 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 78". Boser comes in at 6'2" and is fighting at 255 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 17-6-1. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 75". Regarding wrestling, Philipe Lins is able to thwart 10% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the mat on 10% of the times he tries. Boser is taking his opponents down on 5% of his tries and curbs 100% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Lins takes 3.33 strikes/min and he is connecting on 2.73 per min. Boser, moreover, is absorbing 3.23 strikes/min and is dishing out 4.17 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Julian Erosa (+360)

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