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Roxanne Modafferi vs Lauren Murphy Predictions, Picks, UFC on ESPN 11 Odds

by Tony Sink - 6/19/2020

lauren murphy ufc

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Roxanne Modafferi vs Lauren Murphy

UFC on ESPN 11

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, June 20, 2020

Roxanne Modafferi will enter the Octagon with Lauren Murphy at UFC on ESPN 11 at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV on Saturday, June 20, 2020. The opening line has Modafferi priced at -120 while Murphy is coming in at +100.

Roxanne "The Happy Warrior" Modafferi comes into this fight holding a mark of 24-17-0. The 37-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Lauren "Lucky" Murphy comes in at 5'5" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her career total of 12-4-0. The 36-year-old stretches 67". When talking about significant strikes, Roxanne Modafferi is landing 3.06 per minute while Lauren Murphy is connecting on 3.76 significant strikes per minute. Modafferi connects on 31% of the significant strikes she tries and Murphy is connecting on 38%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "The Happy Warrior" allows 4.80 significant strikes per minute and "Lucky" allows 4.02. Modafferi also curbs 54% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Murphy is able to prevent 61% of the shots thrown in her direction.

Related: Why the Line Moves: Expert Betting Advice and Analysis

When it comes to wrestling, Roxanne Modafferi is the better grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 1.45 times per 15 min. Modafferi is scoring a takedown on 21% of the times she tries and is stuffing 41% of all takedown attempts. Murphy is getting her opponent to the mat on 32% of her takedown tries and is defending 66% of the attempts against her. Regarding sub attempts, Modafferi is the more able fighter by attempting 0.5 subs per 15 minutes while Murphy looks to get 0.2 subs per 3 rounds.

The last time she fought, Roxanne Modafferi fought Maycee Barber and wound up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Barber ended up landing 25 of 45 total strikes that she threw in that fight. Modafferi finished this fight landing 112 of 155 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Barber ended up landing 16 of 31, which means her percentage was 51%. She ended up landing 15 of 29 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Modafferi landed 44% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 19 of 43. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she landed 17 of 41 aimed at the head. 56% of the significant strikes connected on by Barber and 57% of them landed by Modafferi were tallied at distance.

Related: Get MMA tips & picks

 

In the last fight for Lauren Murphy, she fought Andrea Lee and ended up getting the win by split decision in round 3. Lee landed 95% of her significant strikes at distance and Murphy connected on 93% of her significant strikes at distance. Murphy ended up connecting on 40% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 80 of 197. She landed 70 of 181 significant strikes aimed at the head. Lee connected on 104 of 267 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, she connected on 51 of 194 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that she let go, Lee ended up connecting on 107 of 271 while Murphy connected on 107 of 228 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Curtis Blaydes enters the Octagon against Alexander Volkov. Blaydes steps into the Octagon with a record of 13-2-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 265 lbs and stands 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 80". Volkov comes in at 6'7" and is fighting at 250 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 31-7-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 80". When it comes to grappling, Curtis Blaydes takes his opponents to the mat 6.63 times per 3 rounds and Alexander Volkov takes his opponents to the canvas 0.75 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Blaydes tags his opponents 3.74 strikes per minute and landing 51% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Alexander Volkov, who connects on 60% of the strikes he has attempted and is landing 5.36 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Shane Burgos is set to square up in the Octagon with Josh Emmett. Emmett looks to add a victory to his record of 15-2-0. The 35-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Burgos measures 5'11" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 13-1-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 75". Concerning grappling, Josh Emmett is stopping 50% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents to the mat on 45% of his tries. Burgos is taking his opponents to the mat on 90% of his attempts and is able to thwart 90% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Emmett absorbs 3.26 strikes per min while he is landing 3.63 per min. Burgos, on the other hand, takes 5.34 strikes/min and is connecting on 7.09 per minute.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction? UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Lauren Murphy (+100)

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