Petr Yan vs Jose Aldo Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/10/2020

Petr Yan vs Jose Aldo

UFC 251

UFC Fight Island in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, July 11, 2020

Petr Yan will enter the Octagon with Jose Aldo at UFC 251 at UFC Fight Island in Abu Dhabi, UAE on Saturday, July 11, 2020. The opener has Yan at -225 while Aldo is coming in at +185.

Petr "No Mercy" Yan steps into the Octagon with a mark of 14-1-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The switch fighter stretches 67". Jose Aldo measures 5'7" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 28-6-0. The 33-year-old stretches 70". In terms of significant strikes, Petr Yan lands 5.65 per min while Jose Aldo is connecting on 3.47 significant strikes per minute. Yan is connecting on 46% of the significant strikes he throws while Aldo connects on 44%. In terms of defending themselves, "No Mercy" allows 3.15 significant strikes per min and Aldo allows 3.18. Yan also defends 67% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Aldo is able to prevent 65% of them.

Regarding grappling, Petr Yan is the more capable grappler as he gets a takedown 1.73 times per 15 minutes. Yan is finishing his takedown attempts on 53% of his attempts and is stopping 87% of all takedown attempts. Aldo is scoring a takedown on 65% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 91% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Yan is the more skilled technician by trying 0.2 submissions per 15 min while Aldo looks to get 0.1 submissions per 15 minutes.

In his last fight, Petr Yan squared up with Urijah Faber and got a win for the night by way of a kick to the head in round 3. Faber ended up landing 28 of 86 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Yan walked away from this fight having landed 62 of 116 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Faber ended up landing 18 of 76, which means his percentage was 23%. He landed 14 of 64 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Yan landed 50% of his significant strikes by connecting on 54 of 108. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 40 of 90 to the head. 83% of the significant strikes connected on by Faber and 48% of them landed by Yan were thrown at a distance.

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In the last bout for Jose Aldo, he fought Marlon Moraes and walked away with a loss by split decision in round 3. Moraes ended up landing 98% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Aldo landed 98% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Aldo ended up connecting on 39% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 58 of 147. He ended up landing 39 of 109 significant strikes directed at the head. Moraes connected on 59 of 137 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 48 of 124 to the head. When discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Moraes landed 59 of 137 while Aldo connected on 63 of 152 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos encounters Muslim Salikhov. Zaleski dos Santos walks into the cage with a record of 22-6-0. The 33-year-old weighs 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 73". Salikhov stands in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 16-2-0. The 36-year-old has a wingspan of 70". When it comes to grappling, Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos takes his opponents down 0.65 times per 15 min and Muslim Salikhov scores a takedown 1.22 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Zaleski dos Santos connects on 4.17 strikes per minute and connecting on 39% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Muslim Salikhov, who tags the opposition on 46% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 2.92 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Danny Henry is set to go up against Makwan Amirkhani. Amirkhani steps into the cage holding a mark of 15-4-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 72". Henry measures 6'0" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 12-3-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 73". Concerning wrestling, Makwan Amirkhani is stopping 57% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents down on 34% of his tries. Henry is taking his opponents down on 33% of the tries he takes and defends against 66% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Amirkhani is taking 2.77 strikes/minute while he lands 1.60 strikes per minute. Henry, on the other hand, absorbs 4.84 strikes per min and is dealing 5.85 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Petr Yan (-225)

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Petr Yan vs Jose Aldo Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds

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