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NFL Betting Predictions: Week 10 Opening Line Report and Picks

by Jason Radowitz - 11/10/2020

New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees

Maybe the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have been exposed. Or maybe the New Orleans Saints are just that more prepared against the Buccaneers, knowing that if they defeat the Saints, they’ll still be sitting in first place, like it’s been for quite some time.

In the 2010’s, the Saints were 14-6 against the Buccaneers. Now in 2020, the Saints are 2-0, increasing their record to 16-6 against the Buccaneers since 2010.

The Buccaneers added so many weapons to their offense and were going up against a Saints defense that was allowing over 25 points per game. Yet the Buccaneers offense, led by future hall of famer Tom Brady at quarterback, scored just three points against the Saints, in a 38-3 blowout loss for their second loss to the Saints on the season.

The Buccaneers didn’t stop adding talent after Tom Brady. They’ve got Rob Gronkowski, Lenard Fournette, and recently signed wide receiver standout Antonio Brown after his suspension was over.

It’s said a lot in many sports, and it stands true in football. It’s very hard to buy rings. It’s much better to develop talent and win that way.

The Chiefs drafted Patrick Mahomes. Drafted Tyreek Hill. Drafted Mecole Hardman. Drafted Demarcus Robinson. Drafted Travis Kelce. And this year, drafted Clyde Edwards-Helaire.

Of course, you can add pieces around your talent, but developing talent and drafting talent will lead to Super Bowls. Not buying it.

The Buccaneers are a long way from being able to contend for a Super Bowl, even with the talent that they have on paper. Tom Brady is only getting older, and the offense is slowly going to start to fade. It’s now or never, and that type of performance won’t get the job done.

Buccaneers vs Panthers (+6, 50): Christian McCaffrey returned for the Panthers last week against the Chiefs. It was incredible to watch McCaffrey back in action, only to learn that he could miss multiple games again due to a shoulder injury. The Panthers are the type of offense that could trick the Buccaneers, just like the Saints did in Week 9. Without McCaffrey, it’ll be one less weapon for Devin White and the Buccaneers to have to worry about. If the Panthers want to win, they’ll have to throw the football and throw it often. The Saints tape will help. Clearly, the Buccaneers are beatable, and there's a way to get up the field against them. The Bucs have also struggled to run the football and will likely pass all over the Panthers secondary. The Panthers have now lost four straight games and have allowed at least 23 points per game. If the Bucs score over 24, you can expect a victory.   Pick: Buccaneers.

49ers vs Saints (-9, 50.5): The 49ers are going to struggle. This team has been plagued with injuries and will basically lose this season and wait for next year. The Saints offensive line has started to pick it up, and the Saints offense is starting to come around. The offense has Michael Thomas back at wide receiver, and Drew Brees is excited. Brees has thrown for 17 touchdowns and just three interceptions. As long as he continues to protect the ball, the Saints offense should have a field day. The 49ers will start second-stringer Nick Mullins and also be without George Kittle due to injury. Brandon Aiyuk, the rookie wideout, Deebo Samuel and Tevin Coleman are all expected to miss this game as well. With the way the Saints defense played against the Buccaneers, I wouldn’t bet against them now. Pick: Saints

Chargers vs Dolphins (-2.5, 48): This is an exciting match-up between two rookie quarterbacks that have so much potential. Tua Tagovailoa looked much better in his second game against the Arizona Cardinals, leading the Dolphins to victory, 34-31. Meanwhile, Justin Herbert and the Chargers have lost four of their last five games, but every loss has been by one score. Herbert missed an opportunity to defeat the Raiders on the four-yard line with one second to go. Close losses continue to be a problem for the Chargers, but overall they look solid on offense and we can also say some positive things about their defense, especially in the running game. But the Dolphins defense now has two touchdowns in two games and are vicious. They've been playing confident and tough. You can also hand the Coach of the Year award over to Brain Flores, the Dolphins head coach. This team is 5-3 and I like them to be 6-3 after Sunday.  Pick: Dolphins

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