Martin Day vs Davey Grant Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/10/2020

Martin Day vs Davey Grant

UFC 251

UFC Fight Island in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, July 11, 2020

Martin Day will battle Davey Grant at UFC 251 at UFC Fight Island in Abu Dhabi, UAE on Saturday, July 11, 2020. The line has Day coming in at -165 while Grant is at +145.

Martin "The Spartan" Day comes into this bout holding a record of 8-3-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter reaches 73". Davey "Dangerous" Grant stands 5'8" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 11-4-0. The 34-year-old reaches 69". With respect to significant strikes, Martin Day is connecting on 5.60 per min and Davey Grant connects on 3.13 significant strikes per min. Day lands 49% of the significant strikes he attempts and Grant lands 52%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "The Spartan" absorbs 3.20 significant strikes per min and "Dangerous" allows 1.68. Day also defends against 59% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Grant prevents 65% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

In terms of wrestling, Martin Day is not as effective of a grappler as he scores a takedown 1.00 times per 3 rds. Day is finishing his takedown attempts on 66% of his attempts and is stuffing 85% of all takedown tries against him. Grant is finishing his takedown attempts on 47% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 64% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to submissions, Day is the more capable fighter by trying 1.0 finish per 15 minutes while Grant attempts 0.4 finishes per 15 min.

The last time he fought, Martin Day faced Liu Pingyuan and was defeated by way of split decision in round 3. Pingyuan ended up landing 73 of 155 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Day ended the night having landed 127 of 218 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Pingyuan ended up landing 55 of 133, giving him a percentage of 41%. He finished the fight landing 41 of 111 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Day landed 54% of his significant strikes by sticking 100 of 184. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 54 of 120 pointed at the head. 85% of the significant strikes landed by Pingyuan and 82% of them landed by Day were done at distance.

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In the last fight for Davey Grant, he faced off with Grigory Popov and ended up winning this fight via split decision in round 3. Popov landed 71% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Grant connected on 90% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Grant connected on 47% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 30 of 63. He connected on 8 of 32 significant strikes directed at the head. Popov ended up connecting on 35 of 88 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 16 of 57 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go, Popov connected on 57 of 111 and Grant was 34 of 70 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Jessica Andrade meets Rose Namajunas. Andrade steps into the cage with a record of 20-7-0. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 115 lbs and stands 5'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 62". Namajunas stands 5'5" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 9-4-0. The 28-year-old extends her reach 65". When it comes to grappling, Jessica Andrade is able to score a takedown 3.21 times per 15 minutes while Rose Namajunas is able to score a takedown 2.17 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Andrade lands an average of 6.55 strikes per minute and is landing 51% of her attempted strikes. Joining her in the Octagon is Rose Namajunas, who connects on 42% of the strikes she attempts and lands an average of 3.95 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Paige VanZant is set to enter the Octagon against Amanda Ribas. Ribas will be looking to add a win to her career record of 9-1-0. The 26-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". VanZant stands 5'4" and will fight at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 8-4-0. The 26-year-old stretches 65". When it comes to takedowns, Amanda Ribas is able to curb 85% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 50% of the times she tries. VanZant is taking her opponents to the mat on 33% of her tries and is able to deflect 35% of all takedown tries against her. In the matter of striking, Ribas absorbs 1.70 strikes per min and she is dealing 4.84 strikes per min. VanZant, on the other hand, absorbs 2.63 strikes per minute and is connecting on 3.40 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Davey Grant (+145)

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Martin Day vs Davey Grant Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds

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