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Makwan Amirkhani vs Danny Henry Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 7/10/2020

danny henry ufc

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Makwan Amirkhani vs Danny Henry

UFC 251

UFC Fight Island in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, July 11, 2020

Makwan Amirkhani will face off with Danny Henry at UFC 251 at UFC Fight Island in Abu Dhabi, UAE on Saturday, July 11, 2020. The opener has Amirkhani at -200 while Henry is coming in at +170.

Makwan "Mr. Finland" Amirkhani looks to add a win to his record of 15-4-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter reaches 72". Danny "The Hatchet" Henry stands in at 6'0" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 12-3-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 73". Regarding significant strikes, Makwan Amirkhani connects on 1.60 per minute while Danny Henry connects on 5.85 significant strikes per min. Amirkhani is landing 47% of the significant strikes he tries and Henry lands 53%. In terms of defending themselves, "Mr. Finland" absorbs 2.77 significant strikes per minute and "The Hatchet" takes 4.84. Amirkhani also deflects 50% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Henry thwarts 44% of the shots thrown in his direction.

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Regarding grappling, Makwan Amirkhani is the better grappler as he gets a takedown 3.39 times per 15 min. Amirkhani is scoring a takedown on 34% of his attempts and is stuffing 57% of the takedowns his opponents try. Henry is finishing his takedown tries on 33% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 66% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Amirkhani is not as skilled of a technician by trying 1.5 submissions per 3 rounds while Henry goes for 2.7 submissions per 3 rounds.

The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Makwan Amirkhani faced Shane Burgos and was on the losing end of this fight by way of a punch to the body in round 3. Burgos ended up landing 161 of 217 total strikes that he let go. Amirkhani finished this fight landing 23 of 49 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Burgos landed 105 of 155, giving him a percentage of 67%. He landed 61 of 108 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Amirkhani ended up landing 45% of his significant strikes by landing 22 of 48. Of those significant strikes, he was 21 of 46 pointed at the head. 37% of the significant strikes landed by Burgos and 95% of them connected on by Amirkhani were thrown at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Danny Henry, he went up against Dan Ige and walked away in defeat via rear naked choke in round 1. Ige ended up connecting on 40% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Henry connected on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Henry ended up connecting on 57% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 4 of 7. He ended up connecting on 2 of 5 significant strikes aimed at the head. Ige ended up connecting on 10 of 17 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 7 of 14 to the head. Regarding total strikes thrown, Ige was 10 of 17 while Henry ended up connecting on 4 of 7 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Martin Day meets Davey Grant. Day comes into this bout holding a record of 8-3-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter reaches 73". Grant stands 5'8" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 11-4-0. The 34-year-old reaches 69". Regarding grappling, Martin Day is averaging a takedown 1.00 times per 3 rounds while Davey Grant is averaging a takedown 2.64 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Day connects on 5.60 strikes/min and is connecting on 49% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Davey Grant, who tags his opponent on 52% of the strikes he has thrown and is connecting on 3.13 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Rose Namajunas is set to square up in the Octagon against Jessica Andrade. Andrade steps into the cage with a record of 20-7-0. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 115 lbs and stands 5'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 62". Namajunas stands 5'5" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 9-4-0. The 28-year-old extends her reach 65". When it comes to takedowns, Jessica Andrade curbs 76% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 58% of her tries. Namajunas is taking her opponents down on 55% of her tries and is able to deflect 46% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Andrade is absorbing 5.28 strikes per minute and she is dealing 6.55 strikes/min. Namajunas, moreover, is absorbing 3.88 strikes per min and connects on 3.95 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Makwan Amirkhani (-200)

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