Karol Rosa vs Vanessa Melo Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/10/2020

Karol Rosa vs Vanessa Melo

UFC 251

UFC Fight Island in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, July 11, 2020

Karol Rosa will enter the Octagon against Vanessa Melo at UFC 251 at UFC Fight Island in Abu Dhabi, UAE on Saturday, July 11, 2020. The moneyline has Rosa at -240 while Melo is coming in at +200.

Karol Rosa steps into the cage holding a record of 12-3-0. The 25-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands 5'5". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Vanessa Melo stands in at 5'5" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 10-7-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 65". In the category of significant strikes, Karol Rosa connects on 11.40 per min while Vanessa Melo lands 3.60 significant strikes per min. Rosa is landing 48% of the significant strikes she attempts and Melo lands 28%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Rosa allows 11.00 significant strikes per minute and Melo absorbs 6.80. Rosa also deflects 43% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Melo is able to stop 56% of the shots thrown in her direction.

Concerning wrestling, Karol Rosa is the more apt wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 0.40 times per 15 min. Rosa is getting her opponent to the mat on 10% of her tries and stopping 100% of all takedown attempts. Melo is taking her opponents to the canvas on 10% of her takedown tries and is stuffing 77% of all takedowns attempted on her. In terms of going for the submission, Rosa is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds while Melo tries 0.4 submissions per 3 rds.

In her last fight, Karol Rosa went up against Lara Procopio and ended up getting the victory in the fight by split decision in round 3. Procopio landed 169 of 294 total strikes that she threw in that fight. Rosa walked away from this fight having landed 177 of 358 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Procopio landed 165 of 290, which gave her a rate of 56%. She landed 122 of 244 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Rosa ended up landing 48% of her significant strikes by connecting on 171 of 351. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she landed 108 of 266 pointed at the head. 95% of the significant strikes landed by Procopio and 92% of them connected on by Rosa were thrown at distance.

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In the last bout for Vanessa Melo, she squared up with Tracy Cortez and wound up losing the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Cortez ended up landing 58% of the significant strikes she took from distance while Melo ended up connecting on 80% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Melo connected on 32% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 40 of 125. She landed 32 of 116 significant strikes aimed at the head. Cortez landed 79 of 140 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she ended up connecting on 53 of 109 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes thrown in that contest, Cortez was 155 of 224 and Melo landed 76 of 161 of all the strikes she threw.

Other fights to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Kamaru Usman clashes with Jorge Masvidal. Usman looks to add a win to his career total of 16-1-0. The 33-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The switch fighter extends his reach 76". Masvidal stands in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 35-13-0. The 35-year-old reaches 74". When it comes to wrestling, Kamaru Usman gets a takedown 3.44 times per 15 min while Jorge Masvidal takes his opponents down 1.70 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Usman connects on 4.60 strikes/min and connects on 52% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Jorge Masvidal, who is landing 47% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 4.33 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Max Holloway is set to square up against Alexander Volkanovski. Volkanovski looks to add a win to his record of 21-1-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Holloway measures 5'11" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 21-5-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 69". In terms of wrestling, Alexander Volkanovski is stopping 72% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents to the mat on 34% of his attempts. Holloway is finishing his takedowns on 83% of the tries he takes and defends against 85% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Volkanovski takes 3.14 strikes/minute and he connects on 6.15 strikes/min. Holloway, at the same time, takes 4.45 strikes/min and is dealing 6.66 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Karol Rosa (-240)

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Karol Rosa vs Vanessa Melo Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds

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