Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/10/2020

Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal

UFC 251

UFC Fight Island in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, July 11, 2020

Kamaru Usman will enter the Octagon against Jorge Masvidal at UFC 251 at UFC Fight Island in Abu Dhabi, UAE on Saturday, July 11, 2020. The opening odds have Usman priced at -265 while Masvidal is priced at +225.

Kamaru "The Nigerian Nightmare" Usman walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 16-1-0. The 33-year-old weighs 170 lbs and stands 6'0". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 76". Jorge "Gamebred" Masvidal comes in at 5'11" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 35-13-0. The 35-year-old extends his reach 74". In terms of significant strikes, Kamaru Usman is landing 4.60 per minute while Jorge Masvidal is landing 4.33 significant strikes per minute. Usman is connecting on 52% of the significant strikes he tries and Masvidal connects on 47%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "The Nigerian Nightmare" takes 2.17 significant strikes per min while "Gamebred" absorbs 2.94. Usman also stops 60% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Masvidal thwarts 66% of the shots thrown his way.

In the grappling category, Kamaru Usman is the more capable grappler as he scores a takedown 3.44 times per 15 min. Usman is scoring a takedown on 50% of his tries and is stuffing 100% of all takedown tries against him. Masvidal is finishing his takedown attempts on 59% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 78% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of sub attempts, Usman is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by going for 0.2 subs per 3 rounds while Masvidal attempts 0.4 subs per 15 min.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Kamaru Usman squared up with Colby Covington and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of a punch to the head in round 5. Covington ended up landing 143 of 395 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Usman ended the night having landed 175 of 360 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Covington landed 143 of 395, which means his percentage was 36%. He finished the fight landing 103 of 341 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Usman ended up landing 48% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 175 of 360. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 116 of 279 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Covington and 89% of them landed by Usman were done at distance.

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In the last fight for Jorge Masvidal, he went up against Nate Diaz and got a win for the night by a doctor's stoppage due to cuts around the eye in round 3. Diaz ended up landing 76% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Masvidal connected on 46% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Masvidal ended up landing 62% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 112 of 179. He ended up landing 78 of 136 significant strikes directed at the head. Diaz ended up landing 43 of 104 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 23 of 74 to the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Diaz ended up landing 125 of 194 and Masvidal connected on 114 of 184 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Alexander Volkanovski squares up against Max Holloway. Volkanovski comes into this fight holding a mark of 21-1-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Holloway comes in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 21-5-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 69". When it comes to grappling, Alexander Volkanovski takes his opponents down 2.16 times per 3 rounds while Max Holloway scores a takedown 0.24 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Volkanovski is connecting on 6.15 strikes per min and connecting on 57% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Max Holloway, who tags his opponent on 44% of his attempted strikes and lands 6.66 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Jose Aldo is set to enter the Octagon with Petr Yan. Yan steps into the Octagon with a mark of 14-1-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The switch fighter stretches 67". Aldo measures 5'7" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 28-6-0. The 33-year-old stretches 70". In terms of grappling, Petr Yan is able to deflect 87% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents down on 53% of his attempts. Aldo is finishing his takedowns on 65% of the attempts he tries and prevents 91% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Yan is taking 3.15 strikes/minute and he is connecting on 5.65 per min. Aldo, notwithstanding, is taking 3.18 strikes/minute and lands 3.47 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Kamaru Usman (-265)

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