Jessica Andrade vs Rose Namajunas Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/10/2020

Jessica Andrade vs Rose Namajunas

UFC 251

UFC Fight Island in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, July 11, 2020

Jessica Andrade will battle Rose Namajunas in a rematch at UFC 251 at UFC Fight Island in Abu Dhabi, UAE on Saturday, July 11, 2020. The moneyline has Andrade priced at +175 while Namajunas is at -210.

Jessica "Bate Estaca" Andrade steps into the cage with a record of 20-7-0. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 115 lbs and stands 5'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 62". Rose "Thug" Namajunas stands 5'5" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 9-4-0. The 28-year-old extends her reach 65". Concerning significant strikes, Jessica Andrade connects on 6.55 per min and Rose Namajunas is landing 3.95 significant strikes per min. Andrade connects on 51% of the significant strikes she tries and Namajunas is landing 42%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Bate Estaca" allows 5.28 significant strikes per minute while "Thug" absorbs 3.88. Andrade also thwarts 51% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Namajunas is able to prevent 59% of the shots thrown in her direction.

When it comes to takedowns, Jessica Andrade is the more competent wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 3.21 times per 3 rounds. Andrade is scoring a takedown on 58% of the times she tries and is stuffing 76% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Namajunas is getting her opponent to the mat on 55% of her takedown tries and stuffing 46% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Andrade is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.5 finishes per 3 rounds while Namajunas goes for 0.9 finishes per 15 minutes.

In her last fight, Jessica Andrade faced Weili Zhang and ended up walking away in defeat by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Zhang landed 29 of 38 total strikes that she let go in that fight. Andrade ended the night having landed 4 of 12 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Zhang ended up landing 29 of 38, which gave her a percentage of 76%. She landed 16 of 25 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Andrade ended up landing 33% of her significant strikes by landing 4 of 12. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she landed 2 of 9 to the head. 51% of the significant strikes connected on by Zhang and 75% of them connected on by Andrade were done at a distance.

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In the last fight for Rose Namajunas, she fought Andrade and ended up walking away in defeat by knockout in round 2. Andrade ended up connecting on 87% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Namajunas ended up connecting on 90% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Namajunas ended up connecting on 44% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 55 of 125. She connected on 54 of 124 significant strikes to the head. Andrade ended up landing 47 of 105 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, she connected on 17 of 68 to the head. Regarding the total strikes thrown in this fight, Andrade ended up landing 49 of 107 and Namajunas ended up landing 55 of 125 of all the strikes she attempted.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Amanda Ribas squares up in the Octagon against Paige VanZant. Ribas will be looking to add a win to her career record of 9-1-0. The 26-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". VanZant stands 5'4" and will fight at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 8-4-0. The 26-year-old stretches 65". Regarding grappling, Amanda Ribas takes her opponents to the mat 2.02 times per 3 rds while Paige VanZant takes her opponents to the canvas 1.31 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Ribas lands 4.84 strikes per minute and is landing 44% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Paige VanZant, who connects on 52% of the strikes she has thrown and lands 3.40 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Vanessa Melo is set to take on Karol Rosa. Rosa steps into the cage holding a record of 12-3-0. The 25-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands 5'5". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Melo stands in at 5'5" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 10-7-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 65". In terms of wrestling, Karol Rosa is able to defend against 100% of her opponents takedown tries and is getting her opponent to the mat on 10% of her tries. Melo is taking her opponents down on 10% of the attempts she tries and curbs 77% of all takedown tries against her. Concerning striking, Rosa is absorbing 11.00 strikes/minute while she is landing 11.40 per minute. Melo, moreover, absorbs 6.80 strikes per minute and is landing 3.60 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Jessica Andrade (+175)

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