Gian Villante vs Maurice Greene Predictions, Picks, UFC Vegas 4 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 6/26/2020

Gian Villante vs Maurice Greene

UFC Vegas 4

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, June 27, 2020

Gian Villante will battle Maurice Greene at UFC Vegas 4 at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV on Saturday, June 27, 2020. The opener has Villante at +190 while Greene is priced at -230.

Gian Villante looks to add a victory to his record of 17-11-0. The 34-year-old weighs 205 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 76". Maurice "The Crochet Boss" Greene stands 6'7" and weighs 258 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 8-5-0. The 33-year-old reaches 80". When talking about significant strikes, Gian Villante is landing 4.26 per minute while Maurice Greene connects on 4.19 significant strikes per min. Villante is connecting on 42% of the significant strikes he throws and Greene is landing 44%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, Villante absorbs 5.34 significant strikes per minute and "The Crochet Boss" takes 3.43. Villante also defends against 55% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Greene prevents 54% of the shots thrown.

When it comes to grappling, Gian Villante is the more efficient wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.53 times per 15 minutes. Villante is finishing his takedown attempts on 23% of the times he tries and is stopping 83% of all takedowns attempted on him. Greene is scoring a takedown on 10% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 33% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of going for the sub, Villante is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.2 subs per 3 rounds while Greene tries 0.5 subs per 15 minutes.

In his last bout, Gian Villante went up against Michal Oleksiejczuk and was defeated by a punch to the body in round 1. Oleksiejczuk landed 14 of 22 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Villante walked away from this fight having landed 9 of 20 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Oleksiejczuk landed 14 of 22, which gave him a rate of 63%. He finished the fight landing 10 of 18 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Villante landed 45% of his significant strikes by connecting on 9 of 20. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 6 of 12 aimed at the head. 92% of the significant strikes landed by Oleksiejczuk and 100% of them connected on by Villante were done at a distance.

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In the last bout for Maurice Greene, he squared up with Aleksei Oleinik and ended up taking the loss by way of an armbar from the mount position in round 2. Oleinik connected on 57% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Greene landed 76% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Greene ended up landing 44% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 13 of 29. He ended up connecting on 10 of 25 significant strikes directed at the head. Oleinik connected on 7 of 22 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 4 of 19 to the head. In regard to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Oleinik connected on 25 of 46 and Greene ended up landing 38 of 54 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Sean Woodson squares up against Julian Erosa. Woodson has a mark of 7-0-0. The 28-year-old weighs 145 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 78". Erosa measures in at 6'1" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 22-9-0. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 74". In terms of takedowns, Sean Woodson scores a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rounds while Julian Erosa is averaging a takedown 0.83 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Woodson lands 5.27 strikes/minute and is landing 43% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Julian Erosa, who connects on 45% of his attempted strikes and is connecting on 4.18 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Khama Worthy is set to square up against Luis Pena. Pena walks into the cage with a mark of 8-2-0. The 26-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 75". Worthy comes in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 15-6-0. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 74". Regarding wrestling, Luis Pena is stopping 45% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 29% of his tries. Worthy is taking his opponents down on 10% of his tries and deflects 5% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Pena takes 2.47 strikes per minute and he connects on 3.32 strikes/minute. Worthy, on the other hand, is taking 3.53 strikes per minute and deals 4.94 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Gian Villante (+190)

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