Free College Basketball Picks Tuesday 3/3/2020 and Opening Line Report
It's March. That means we're just a couple weeks away from March Madness. It also means that each conference game means a whole lot more when it comes to the conference tournament and seeding in the NCAA Tournament. Here are the early leans for Tuesday, March 3 in college basketball.
Maryland vs. Rutgers 3/3/20 (-1.5, 131.5)
Rutgers has dropped their last three games but have been absolute warriors at home this season. With just one loss at home all year, this game comes at a crucial time. Rutgers needs a win against a ranked opponent like Maryland to keep their chances at an NCAA Tournament in tact. Meanwhile, Maryland lost to Michigan State at home, 78-66 and never really looked like they'd finish the job in their comeback bid. Maryland is shooting just 41.7 percent from the field this season. Rutgers and Maryland will have a nice little rebounding battle going on. I like Rutgers to come away with the win. They need this more than anything and at home, the crowd will bring the energy.
Key trends:
Scarlet Knights are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Early lean: Rutgers, Under
Michigan State vs. Penn State 3/3/20 (+2, 144)
Michigan State is trending upwards after they've won four of their last five games. The lone loss came against Maryland but Michigan State returned the favor most recently with a win at Maryland. Penn State is trending downward with three of their four games becoming losses. The Nittany Lions almost blew a 20 point deficit against Rutgers but survived a last second shot from Rutgers. Take Michigan State on the road. This is a Tom Izzo coached team. They win in March plain and simple.
Key trends:
Nittany Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Early lean: Penn State, Over
Tennessee vs. Kentucky 3/3/20 (-9, 132)
The SEC seems pretty weak this season but Kentucky has turned it on as of late. The Wildcats have won eight straight games and will take on a Tennessee team that had a nice win over Florida at home just a couple days ago. Kentucky's scoring an average of 74.6 points per game while the Vols are averaging 66.7 points per game. Kentucky shoots it better and can rebound more effectively. However, Kentucky hasn't blown any team out in their last five games and have won each game by just single digits. With the way Tennessee played against Florida, I'd roll with them against the spread. Kentucky starts games slow and claws back in it. Could the Vols hold them?
Key trends:
Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Early lean: Tennessee, Under
Purdue vs. Iowa 3/3/20 (-5, 141.5)
Two very good offenses playing in Iowa. Purdue hasn't been great on the road and they've been inconsistent all season. Purdue got their first win in five games after defeating Indiana at home but Purdue still doesn't have answers on the road. Iowa is 14-1 at home straight up while Purdue is 3-8 on the road straight up. Iowa's offense scores 78.1 points per game. They'll shoot Purdue out of their home gym and dominate Purdue back to a .500 team.
Key trends:
Hawkeyes are 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Early lean: Iowa, Over
West Virginia vs. Iowa State 3/3/20 (+5, 139)
West Virginia has been one of the biggest disappointments this season. They've dropped four of their last five games with the lone win coming at home against sub-par Oklahoma State. Yet, WVU has still won 19 games this season. Very weird. They'll play on the road against an Iowa State team that has played much better at home this season. West Virginia has been brutal on the road. West Virginia will have a clear advantage on the boards but if Iowa State can make their shots, defensively they can hold West Virginia and escape with a win.
Key trends:
Mountaineers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Early lean: Iowa State, Under
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