Rodolfo Vieira vs Saparbek Safarov UFC Point Spread Picks - 3/7/2020

Rodolfo Vieira vs Saparbek Safarov

UFC 248

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 7, 2020

Rodolfo Vieira will face off against Saparbek Safarov at UFC 248 in T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday, March 7, 2020. The opening odds have Vieira priced at -750 while Safarov is priced at +525.

Rodolfo Vieira looks to add a win to his record of 6-0-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and measures 6' 0". The orthodox fighter stretches 73". Saparbek Safarov stands 6' 1" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 9-2-0. The 33-year-old has a reach of 78". When talking about significant strikes, Rodolfo Vieira lands 1.91 per min and Saparbek Safarov is connecting on 4.29 significant strikes per min. Vieira is landing 46% of the significant strikes he tries while Safarov is connecting on 48%. In terms of defending themselves, Vieira absorbs 2.33 significant strikes per minute and Safarov takes 3.10. Vieira also curbs 48% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Safarov is able to prevent 47% of the strikes thrown his way.

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Regarding takedowns, Rodolfo Vieira is the more capable grappler as he is averaging a takedown 4.77 times per 3 rounds. Vieira is finishing his takedown attempts on 42% of his tries and defending 10% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Safarov is taking his opponents to the mat on 41% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 90% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of subbing the opposition, Vieira is the more skilled of the two fighters by trying 1.6 submissions per 15 minutes while Safarov goes for 0.7 submissions per 3 rounds.

In his last bout, Rodolfo Vieira went up against Oskar Piechota and wound up taking home the victory by an arm triangle in round 2. Piechota ended up landing 51 of 76 total strikes attempted in that fight. Vieira walked away from this fight having landed 37 of 62 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Piechota landed 22 of 43, giving him a percentage of 51%. He ended up landing 19 of 36 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Vieira ended up landing 46% of his significant strikes by sticking 18 of 39. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 16 of 36 to the head. 36% of the significant strikes connected on by Piechota and 27% of them landed by Vieira were done at distance.

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In the last bout for Saparbek Safarov, he squared up with Nicolae Negumereanu and wound up taking home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Negumereanu ended up landing 63% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Safarov ended up connecting on 22% of his significant strikes at distance. Safarov ended up landing 81% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 70 of 86. He landed 60 of 74 significant strikes directed at the head. Negumereanu ended up connecting on 11 of 27 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 5 of 17 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown in that contest, Negumereanu was 20 of 36 while Safarov ended up landing 139 of 156 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Gerald Meerschaert squares up in the Octagon against Deron Winn. Meerschaert looks to add a victory to his career record of 29-12-0. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and stands in at 6' 1". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 77". Winn measures 5' 6" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 6-1-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 70". When it comes to grappling, Gerald Meerschaert gets his opposition to the mat 2.56 times per 15 min while Deron Winn is able to score a takedown 3.00 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Meerschaert tags his opponents 2.73 strikes per min and is connecting on 42% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Deron Winn, who connects on 47% of the strikes he has thrown and lands an average of 6.60 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Joanna Jedrzejczyk is set to clash with Weili Zhang. Zhang will be looking to add a win to her career record of 20-1-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs and stands 5' 4". The switch fighter reaches 63". Jedrzejczyk measures in at 5' 6" and is fighting at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 16-3-0. The 32-year-old stretches 65". In terms of wrestling, Weili Zhang deflects 90% of the takedowns her opponents try and is getting her opponent to the mat on 30% of the times she tries. Jedrzejczyk is taking her opponents to the mat on 62% of the attempts she tries and is able to stop 81% of all takedown tries against her. With reference to striking, Zhang is taking 2.24 strikes per minute and she lands 6.22 strikes/min. Jedrzejczyk, on the other hand, absorbs 2.73 strikes per min and is landing 6.18 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Saparbek Safarov (+525)

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