Rafael Dos Anjos vs Michael Chiesa UFC Point Spread Picks - 1/25/2020

Rafael Dos Anjos vs Michael Chiesa

UFC Fight Night 166

PNC Arena in Raleigh, NC

Saturday, January 25, 2020

Rafael Dos Anjos will face off with Michael Chiesa at UFC Fight Night 166 in PNC Arena in Raleigh, NC on Saturday, January 25, 2020. The line has Anjos priced at -260 while Chiesa is at +220.

Rafael Dos Anjos walks into the Octagon with a mark of 29-12-0. The 35-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands in at 5' 8". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 70". Michael "Maverick" Chiesa measures 6' 1" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career record of 16-4-0. The 32-year-old stretches 75". Regarding significant strikes, Rafael Dos Anjos is connecting on 3.57 per min while Michael Chiesa is landing 2.28 significant strikes per minute. Dos Anjos connects on 45% of the significant strikes he attempts and Chiesa lands 41%. Regarding defending in the cage, Dos Anjos absorbs 3.28 significant strikes per min while "Maverick" absorbs 2.09. Dos Anjos also thwarts 62% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Chiesa is able to curb 51% of the strikes thrown his way.

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In the wrestling category, Rafael Dos Anjos is the not as competent as a grappler as he scores a takedown 1.89 times per 3 rds. Dos Anjos is finishing his takedown attempts on 39% of his attempts and stopping 60% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Chiesa is taking his opponents to the canvas on 48% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 66% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Dos Anjos is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.7 subs per 15 minutes while Chiesa attempts 1.2 subs per 15 min.

The last time he fought, Rafael Dos Anjos squared up with Leon Edwards and took a loss on the night via unanimous decision in round 5. Edwards landed 113 of 244 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Anjos finished this fight landing 129 of 219 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Edwards ended up landing 92 of 215, which gave him a rate of 42%. He finished the fight landing 72 of 189 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Anjos ended up landing 47% of his significant strikes by sticking 81 of 169. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 41 of 115 to the head. 83% of the significant strikes connected on by Edwards and 90% of them landed by Anjos were done at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Michael Chiesa, he went up against Diego Sanchez and got a win for the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Sanchez landed 14% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Chiesa landed 8% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Chiesa connected on 70% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 47 of 67. He landed 46 of 66 significant strikes directed at the head. Sanchez ended up connecting on 7 of 11 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 1 of 4 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Sanchez ended up connecting on 23 of 31 while Chiesa connected on 98 of 132 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Jordan Espinosa meets Alex Perez. Espinosa has a record of 14-6-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands in at 5' 6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 69". Perez comes in at 5' 6" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 22-5-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 65". In terms of takedowns, Jordan Espinosa scores a takedown 0.92 times per 3 rounds and Alex Perez gets a takedown 3.13 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Espinosa lands 4.52 strikes/minute and is landing 58% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Alex Perez, who tags his opponent on 48% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 4.68 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Dequan Townsend is set to encounter Bevon Lewis. Lewis will be looking to add a win to his record of 6-2-0. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and measures in at 6' 3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 79". Townsend stands in at 6' 3" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 21-9-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 79". In the category of takedowns, Bevon Lewis stops 90% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedowns on 10% of his attempts. Townsend is taking his opponents to the mat on 5% of the tries he takes and is able to defend against 33% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Lewis absorbs 2.79 strikes/min while he is connecting on 4.71 strikes/min. Townsend, in contrast, is taking 2.99 strikes/min and is dishing out 1.22 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Michael Chiesa (+220)

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