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Martin Day vs Randy Costa Expert UFC Picks - 3/28/2020


by Guy Bruhn - 3/16/2020

Randy Costa UFC

Free Picks

Martin Day vs Randy Costa

UFC on ESPN 8

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 28, 2020

 

PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS EVENT HAS BEEN CANCELLED DUE TO THE CORONAVIRUS.

 

Martin Day will enter the Octagon with Randy Costa at UFC on ESPN 8 in UFC Apex in Las Vegas on Saturday, March 28, 2020. The moneyline has Day at +130 while Costa is priced at -150.

Martin "The Spartan" Day has a career record of 8-3-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 73". Randy "The Zohan" Costa measures in at 5'9" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The switch fighter holds a mark of 5-1-0. The 25-year-old reaches 73". With respect to significant strikes, Martin Day connects on 5.60 per minute while Randy Costa lands 8.05 significant strikes per minute. Day lands 49% of the significant strikes he attempts while Costa connects on 46%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Spartan" absorbs 3.20 significant strikes per min while "The Zohan" takes 5.56. Day also stops 59% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Costa is able to curb 57% of the strikes thrown his way.

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Concerning wrestling, Martin Day is the more efficient grappler as he gets a takedown 1.00 times per 15 min. Day is finishing his takedown attempts on 66% of his attempts and is defending 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Costa is taking his opponents down on 10% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 95% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of subbing the opposition, Day is the more skilled technician by going for 1.0 finish per 15 minutes while Costa attempts 0.5 submissions per 15 min.

In his previous bout, Martin Day squared up with Liu Pingyuan and walked away with a loss via split decision in round 3. Pingyuan ended up landing 73 of 155 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Day finished this fight landing 127 of 218 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Pingyuan ended up landing 55 of 133, which gave him a rate of 41%. He ended up landing 41 of 111 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Day ended up landing 54% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 100 of 184. Out of those significant strikes, he was 54 of 120 to the head. 85% of the significant strikes landed by Pingyuan and 82% of them landed by Day were thrown at distance.

Related: Get UFC tips & picks

 

In the last Octagon appearance for Randy Costa, he fought Boston Salmon and took home the win by a punch to the head in round 1. Salmon ended up landing 91% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Costa ended up connecting on 86% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Costa connected on 50% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 22 of 44. He landed 21 of 41 significant strikes aimed at the head. Salmon ended up landing 12 of 22 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 4 of 13 to the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go in that contest, Salmon connected on 16 of 26 while Costa ended up connecting on 23 of 45 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Laureano Staropoli squares up against Khaos Williams. Staropoli holds a mark of 9-2-0. The 27-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and measures 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Williams stands 6'0" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 10-1-0. The 25-year-old has an arm span of 77". In the grappling category, Laureano Staropoli is able to score a takedown 0.33 times per 15 min and Khaos Williams scores a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Staropoli lands 4.29 strikes/minute and is landing 31% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Khaos Williams, who tags his opponent on 58% of his attempted strikes and is landing 22.22 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Mizuki Inoue is set to battle Tecia Torres. Torres looks to add a win to her record of 10-5-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 60". Inoue comes in at 5'3" and is weighing in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 14-5-0. The 25-year-old extends her reach 65". Concerning grappling, Tecia Torres is able to defend against 52% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is getting her opponent to the mat on 14% of her tries. Inoue is taking her opponents to the mat on 6% of her tries and stops 90% of all takedown tries against her. Concerning striking, Torres absorbs 3.46 strikes/minute while she is dealing 4.04 strikes per min. Inoue, moreover, is absorbing 8.20 strikes per minute and is dishing out 6.20 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Martin Day (+130)

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