Marcin Tybura vs Serghei Spivac Expert UFC Picks - 2/29/2020

Marcin Tybura vs Serghei Spivac

UFC Fight Night 169

Chartway Arena in Norfolk, VA

Saturday, February 29, 2020

Marcin Tybura will enter the Octagon against Serghei Spivac at UFC Fight Night 169 in Chartway Arena in Norfolk, VA on Saturday, February 29, 2020. The opening moneyline has Tybura priced at +100 while Spivac is at -120.

Marcin "Tybur" Tybura steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 17-6-0. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 249 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 78". Serghei "Polar Bear" Spivac measures 6'3" and weighs in at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 10-1-0. The 25-year-old extends his reach 78". Concerning significant strikes, Marcin Tybura lands 3.61 per minute while Serghei Spivac lands 2.65 significant strikes per minute. Tybura connects on 51% of the significant strikes he tries and Spivac is landing 53%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Tybur" allows 3.20 significant strikes per min and "Polar Bear" absorbs 4.19. Tybura also curbs 52% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Spivac is able to deflect 51% of the shots thrown.

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Regarding wrestling, Marcin Tybura is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents down 1.48 times per 15 minutes. Tybura is scoring a takedown on 61% of his attempts and is stuffing 81% of all takedown tries against him. Spivac is taking his opponents down on 75% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 20% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Tybura is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.1 subs per 15 min while Spivac looks to get 1.6 subs per 3 rds.

In his previous bout, Marcin Tybura squared up with Augusto Sakai and ended up taking the loss via punches to the head in round 1. Sakai ended up landing 15 of 27 total strikes attempted in that contest. Tybura finished this fight landing 6 of 7 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Sakai ended up landing 15 of 27, which means his percentage was 55%. He finished the fight landing 13 of 25 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Tybura landed 85% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 6 of 7. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 1 of 2 to the head. 40% of the significant strikes connected on by Sakai and 90% of them landed by Tybura were thrown at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Serghei Spivac, he went up against Tai Tuivasa and wound up taking home the victory by way of an arm triangle in round 2. Tuivasa ended up landing 80% of his significant strikes at distance and Spivac ended up landing 34% of his significant strikes at distance. Spivac ended up connecting on 54% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 23 of 42. He landed 22 of 41 significant strikes aimed at the head. Tuivasa landed 21 of 50 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 8 of 32 directed at the head. In relation to the strikes he fired off in this contest, Tuivasa ended up landing 22 of 51 while Spivac was 40 of 60 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Joseph Benavidez goes up against Deiveson Figueiredo. Benavidez walks into the Octagon with a mark of 28-5-0. The 35-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 65". Figueiredo stands in at 5'5" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 17-1-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 68". Regarding grappling, Joseph Benavidez is averaging a takedown 1.53 times per 15 min and Deiveson Figueiredo takes his opponents down 1.78 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Benavidez is landing 3.46 strikes/minute and connecting on 33% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Deiveson Figueiredo, who tags the opposition on 52% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 2.44 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Zarah Fairn is set to square up in the Octagon with Felicia Spencer. Spencer looks to add a victory to her career record of 7-1-0. The 29-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Fairn stands in at 5'8" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her career total of 6-3-0. The 33-year-old reaches 72". When it comes to takedowns, Felicia Spencer is able to curb 10% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 10% of her tries. Fairn is taking her opponents to the mat on 10% of her tries and defends against 50% of all takedown tries against her. With regard to striking, Spencer is absorbing 6.79 strikes/minute and she is landing 3.26 strikes per min. Fairn, notwithstanding, is absorbing 2.53 strikes/min and connects on 0.51 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Marcin Tybura (+100)

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