Kevin Lee vs Charles Oliveira UFC Predictions & Tips - 3/14/2020

Kevin Lee vs Charles Oliveira

UFC Fight Night 170

Ginasio Nilson Nelson Arena in Brazil

Saturday, March 14, 2020

Kevin Lee will battle Charles Oliveira at UFC Fight Night 170 in Ginasio Nilson Nelson Arena in Brazil on Saturday, March 14, 2020. The opening odds have Lee coming in at -140 while Oliveira is at +120.

Kevin "The Motown Phenom" Lee holds a career mark of 18-5-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and comes in at 5' 9". The orthodox fighter reaches 77". Charles "Do Bronx" Oliveira comes in at 5' 10" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 28-8-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 74". In terms of significant strikes, Kevin Lee is connecting on 3.90 per minute and Charles Oliveira is connecting on 3.21 significant strikes per minute. Lee is connecting on 42% of the significant strikes he tries while Oliveira is landing 50%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Motown Phenom" allows 3.18 significant strikes per min and "Do Bronx" takes 3.03. Lee also curbs 52% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Oliveira is able to curb 54% of them.

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Concerning takedowns, Kevin Lee is the more capable wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 3.23 times per 3 rds. Lee is scoring a takedown on 42% of his tries and stopping 74% of all takedown tries against him. Oliveira is taking his opponents to the mat on 42% of his takedown attempts and defending 58% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Lee is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.9 finishes per 3 rounds while Oliveira looks to get 2.8 finishes per 3 rds.

In his last bout, Kevin Lee faced Gregor Gillespie and took home the victory by a kick to the head in round 1. Gillespie ended up landing 9 of 46 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Lee finished this fight landing 21 of 59 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Gillespie ended up landing 9 of 46, which means his percentage was 19%. He landed 8 of 45 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Lee ended up landing 35% of his significant strikes by sticking 21 of 59. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 19 of 55 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Gillespie and 95% of them landed by Lee were tallied at distance.

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In the last bout for Charles Oliveira, he faced off with Jared Gordon and ended up getting the victory in the fight via a punch to the head in round 1. Gordon connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Oliveira landed 80% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Oliveira connected on 62% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 10 of 16. He landed 5 of 9 significant strikes directed at the head. Gordon connected on 7 of 18 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 7 of 16 to the head. Discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Gordon ended up connecting on 7 of 18 and Oliveira ended up landing 10 of 16 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Demian Maia squares up with Gilbert Burns. Maia has a career mark of 28-9-0. The 42-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and comes in at 6' 1". The southpaw fighter stretches 72". Burns measures in at 5' 10" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 17-3-0. The 33-year-old stretches 71". In terms of takedowns, Demian Maia takes his opponents to the mat 2.49 times per 15 minutes while Gilbert Burns takes his opponents to the mat 2.43 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Maia lands an average of 1.82 strikes per minute and connecting on 43% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Gilbert Burns, who tags the opposition on 43% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 3.09 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Damir Hadzovic is set to meet Renato Moicano. Moicano comes into this fight with a record of 13-3-1. The 30-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands 5' 11". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Hadzovic stands in at 5' 9" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 13-5-0. The 33-year-old stretches 70". Regarding wrestling, Renato Moicano is stopping 76% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents down on 54% of the times he tries. Hadzovic is finishing his takedown tries on 60% of his attempts and deflects 40% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Moicano is absorbing 3.69 strikes/min while he connects on 5.53 strikes per minute. Hadzovic, on the other side, takes 3.00 strikes/min and is dealing 3.00 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Kevin Lee (-140)

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