Jussier Formiga vs Brandon Moreno UFC Point Spread Picks - 3/14/2020

Jussier Formiga vs Brandon Moreno

UFC Fight Night 170

Ginasio Nilson Nelson Arena in Brazil

Saturday, March 14, 2020

Jussier Formiga will battle Brandon Moreno at UFC Fight Night 170 in Ginasio Nilson Nelson Arena in Brazil on Saturday, March 14, 2020. The odds have Formiga at -190 while Moreno is coming in at +165.

Jussier "Formiga" Formiga looks to add a victory to his career record of 23-6-0. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands 5' 5". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 67". Brandon "The Assassin Baby" Moreno stands in at 5' 7" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 16-5-1. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 70". With respect to significant strikes, Jussier Formiga lands 1.38 per minute and Brandon Moreno is landing 3.12 significant strikes per minute. Formiga is landing 38% of the significant strikes he throws and Moreno lands 34%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Formiga" absorbs 2.23 significant strikes per min while "The Assassin Baby" absorbs 3.24. Formiga also prevents 65% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Moreno deflects 63% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

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When it comes to grappling, Jussier Formiga is the not as competent as a grappler as he gets a takedown 1.95 times per 15 min. Formiga is getting his opponent to the mat on 39% of his attempts and stuffing 86% of all takedown tries against him. Moreno is taking his opponents to the mat on 43% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 62% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of going for the sub, Formiga FALSE by trying 0.6 submissions per 15 minutes while Moreno looks to get 0.6 submissions per 3 rds.

The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Jussier Formiga squared up with Joseph Benavidez and wound up taking the loss by a punch to the head in round 2. Benavidez landed 72 of 138 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Formiga finished this fight landing 15 of 48 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Benavidez landed 50 of 115, which means his percentage was 43%. He finished the fight landing 27 of 77 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Formiga ended up landing 31% of his significant strikes by landing 15 of 48. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 15 of 47 to the head. 88% of the significant strikes connected on by Benavidez and 100% of them connected on by Formiga were tallied at distance.

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In the last bout for Brandon Moreno, he faced off with Kai Kara-France and wound up taking home the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Kara-France connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Moreno ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Moreno connected on 32% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 91 of 276. He landed 78 of 261 significant strikes directed at the head. Kara-France landed 82 of 231 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 57 of 194 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Kara-France was 82 of 231 and Moreno connected on 91 of 276 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos goes up against Aleksei Kunchenko. Zaleski dos Santos holds a career mark of 21-6-0. The 33-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and comes in at 5' 11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Kunchenko measures 5' 8" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 20-1-0. The 35-year-old extends his reach 70". Regarding grappling, Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos is able to score a takedown 0.45 times per 15 minutes while Aleksei Kunchenko takes his opponents to the mat 0.33 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Zaleski dos Santos lands an average of 4.18 strikes per min and connecting on 39% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Aleksei Kunchenko, who lands 42% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 3.62 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Enrique Barzola is set to face off against Rani Yahya. Yahya will be looking to add a win to his record of 26-10-0. The 35-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures in at 5' 6". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 67". Barzola stands 5' 7" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 17-5-1. The 30-year-old extends his reach 70". In the category of takedowns, Rani Yahya is able to stop 22% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 32% of the times he tries. Barzola is finishing his takedowns on 45% of his tries and is able to curb 68% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Yahya absorbs 1.61 strikes per minute and he lands 1.59 strikes per minute. Barzola, on the other side, is absorbing 3.13 strikes/minute and is dishing out 3.93 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Brandon Moreno (+165)

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