Jack Shore vs Geraldo de Freitas Expert UFC Picks - 3/21/2020

Jack Shore vs Geraldo de Freitas

UFC Fight Night 171

The O2 Arena in London, England

Saturday, March 21, 2020

Jack Shore will take on Geraldo de Freitas at UFC Fight Night 171 in The O2 Arena in London, England on Saturday, March 21, 2020. The opening moneyline has Shore at -210 while Freitas is at +175.

Jack "Tank" Shore looks to add a win to his career record of 12-0-0. The 25-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and comes in at 5' 8". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Geraldo "Spartan" de Freitas stands in at 5' 7" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 12-5-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 72". When talking about significant strikes, Jack Shore lands 3.58 per min and Geraldo de Freitas lands 2.97 significant strikes per min. Shore lands 50% of the significant strikes he tries and de Freitas is connecting on 47%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Tank" takes 0.47 significant strikes per min and "Spartan" absorbs 2.30. Shore also prevents 83% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while de Freitas deflects 49% of the shots thrown.

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In the grappling category, Jack Shore is the more efficient grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 4.67 times per 15 minutes. Shore is finishing his takedown attempts on 57% of the times he tries and thwarting 10% of all takedowns attempted on him. de Freitas is getting his opponent to the mat on 50% of his takedown tries and stopping 60% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Shore is the more experienced submission fighter by attempting 1.2 finishes per 3 rds while de Freitas goes for 0.3 finishes per 3 rounds.

The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Jack Shore went up against Nohelin Hernandez and got a win for the night by rear naked choke in round 3. Hernandez ended up landing 9 of 39 total strikes attempted in that fight. Shore ended the night having landed 81 of 139 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Hernandez landed 6 of 36, which gave him a percentage of 16%. He landed 5 of 34 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Shore landed 50% of his significant strikes by landing 46 of 92. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 33 of 76 aimed at the head. 66% of the significant strikes landed by Hernandez and 56% of them landed by Shore were done at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Geraldo de Freitas, he battled Chris Gutierrez and walked away with a loss by way of split decision in round 3. Gutierrez ended up connecting on 83% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Freitas ended up connecting on 95% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Freitas ended up connecting on 35% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 40 of 112. He ended up connecting on 26 of 95 significant strikes aimed at the head. Gutierrez ended up connecting on 48 of 86 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 18 of 46 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that contest, Gutierrez was 49 of 87 and Freitas was 57 of 134 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Paul Craig takes on Ryan Spann. Craig holds a career record of 12-4-1. The 32-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and measures in at 6' 3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 76". Spann comes in at 6' 5" and tips the scales at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 17-5-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 79". In the grappling category, Paul Craig is averaging a takedown 1.65 times per 3 rds while Ryan Spann gets a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Craig lands an average of 2.33 strikes/min and is connecting on 48% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Ryan Spann, who connects on 43% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 3.26 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Gabriel Benitez is set to encounter Lerone Murphy. Murphy will be looking to add a win to his career record of 8-0-1. The 28-year-old weighs 145 lbs and measures in at 5' 9". The orthodox fighter reaches 73". Benitez measures in at 5' 8" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 21-8-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 71". Regarding takedowns, Lerone Murphy defends against 25% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown tries on 10% of his attempts. Benitez is taking his opponents down on 100% of the attempts he tries and is able to thwart 56% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Murphy takes 1.47 strikes/minute and he is dealing 1.87 strikes/minute. Benitez, moreover, is absorbing 2.93 strikes per min and is connecting on 4.32 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Jack Shore (-210)

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