Greg Hardy vs Yorgan De Castro Predictions, Picks, UFC on ESPN 8 Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/16/2020

Greg Hardy vs Yorgan De Castro

UFC on ESPN 8

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 28, 2020

PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS EVENT HAS BEEN CANCELLED DUE TO THE CORONAVIRUS.

Greg Hardy will face off against Yorgan De Castro at UFC on ESPN 8 in UFC Apex in Las Vegas on Saturday, March 28, 2020. The odds have Hardy coming in at -175 while Castro is priced at +155.

Greg "Prince of War" Hardy has a record of 5-2-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 265 lbs and measures in at 6'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 80". Yorgan "The Mad Titan" De Castro comes in at 6'0" and tips the scales at 250 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 6-0-0. The 33-year-old has a reach of 74". When talking about significant strikes, Greg Hardy connects on 4.77 per minute while Yorgan De Castro is landing 3.58 significant strikes per min. Hardy is connecting on 49% of the significant strikes he tries and De Castro lands 53%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Prince of War" takes 3.21 significant strikes per min and "The Mad Titan" absorbs 1.40. Hardy also defends 56% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while De Castro deflects 43% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

Regarding grappling, Greg Hardy is the more productive wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.60 times per 15 minutes. Hardy is getting his opponent to the mat on 8% of the times he tries and stopping 83% of all takedown tries against him. De Castro is getting his opponent to the mat on 7% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 75% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding sub attempts, Hardy is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.5 finishes per 3 rds while De Castro tries 0.7 finishes per 3 rounds.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Greg Hardy squared up with Alexander Volkov and ended up taking the loss via unanimous decision in round 3. Volkov landed 86 of 152 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Hardy finished this fight landing 51 of 140 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Volkov ended up landing 86 of 152, giving him a percentage of 56%. He ended up landing 44 of 101 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Hardy landed 34% of his significant strikes by connecting on 46 of 135. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 23 of 92 to the head. 90% of the significant strikes landed by Volkov and 95% of them connected on by Hardy were done at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Yorgan De Castro, he squared up with Justin Tafa and got a win for the night via a punch to the head in round 1. Tafa connected on 33% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Castro ended up connecting on 95% of his significant strikes at distance. Castro ended up landing 33% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 4 of 12. He ended up connecting on 2 of 10 significant strikes directed at the head. Tafa ended up connecting on 6 of 9 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 5 of 8 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go, Tafa landed 17 of 20 while Castro ended up connecting on 6 of 14 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Khalil Rountree Jr. enters the Octagon against Sam Alvey. Rountree Jr. walks into the Octagon holding a record of 9-4-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 76". Alvey measures 6'2" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 33-13-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 75". In terms of takedowns, Khalil Rountree Jr. gets his opposition to the mat 0.60 times per 15 minutes while Sam Alvey takes his opponents down 0.90 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Rountree Jr. lands an average of 3.01 strikes per minute and landing 40% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Sam Alvey, who is connecting on 44% of the strikes he has thrown and lands an average of 3.05 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Raoni Barcelos is set to take on Cody Stamann. Stamann walks into the cage with a record of 18-2-1. The 30-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 64". Barcelos stands in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 15-1-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 67". Regarding takedowns, Cody Stamann is stopping 86% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is getting his opponent to the mat on 48% of his attempts. Barcelos is finishing his takedowns on 58% of his tries and is able to thwart 83% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Stamann is absorbing 3.06 strikes/minute while he is dealing 4.25 strikes/min. Barcelos, moreover, takes 4.46 strikes/minute and is dishing out 4.79 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Yorgan De Castro (+155)

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