Francis Ngannou vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik Predictions, Picks, UFC on ESPN 8 Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/16/2020

Francis Ngannou vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik

UFC on ESPN 8

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 28, 2020

PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS EVENT HAS BEEN CANCELLED DUE TO THE CORONAVIRUS.

Francis Ngannou will take on Jairzinho Rozenstruik at UFC on ESPN 8 in UFC Apex in Las Vegas on Saturday, March 28, 2020. The opener has Ngannou coming in at -270 while Rozenstruik is priced at +230.

Francis "The Predator" Ngannou holds a career record of 14-3-0. The 33-year-old weighs 250 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 83". Jairzinho "Bigi Boy" Rozenstruik stands 6'4" and records a weight of 242 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 10-0-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 78". Concerning significant strikes, Francis Ngannou is connecting on 2.15 per minute and Jairzinho Rozenstruik is connecting on 3.72 significant strikes per min. Ngannou is connecting on 37% of the significant strikes he throws while Rozenstruik is connecting on 46%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "The Predator" absorbs 1.97 significant strikes per min and "Bigi Boy" absorbs 3.05. Ngannou also stops 48% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Rozenstruik is able to thwart 32% of the shots thrown.

In terms of wrestling, Francis Ngannou is the better grappler as he scores a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rounds. Ngannou is finishing his takedown attempts on 10% of his tries and is stopping 71% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Rozenstruik is finishing his takedowns on 9% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 75% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of going for the submission, Ngannou is the more skilled fighter by attempting 0.5 submissions per 3 rounds while Rozenstruik attempts 0.3 submissions per 15 min.

In his last fight, Francis Ngannou went up against Junior Dos Santos and wound up taking home the win by a punch to the head in round 1. Santos landed 4 of 6 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Ngannou walked away from this fight having landed 9 of 19 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Santos landed 4 of 6, which gave him a rate of 66%. He finished the fight landing 1 of 3 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Ngannou landed 47% of his significant strikes by sticking 9 of 19. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 5 of 14 to the head. 90% of the significant strikes connected on by Santos and 55% of them connected on by Ngannou were done at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Jairzinho Rozenstruik, he faced off with Alistair Overeem and wound up taking home the victory by a punch to the head in round 5. Overeem ended up landing 62% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Rozenstruik ended up connecting on 76% of his significant strikes at distance. Rozenstruik connected on 42% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 89 of 209. He ended up connecting on 57 of 169 significant strikes to the head. Overeem connected on 74 of 105 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 48 of 76 aimed at the head. Regarding the total strikes thrown in this fight, Overeem ended up connecting on 101 of 135 while Rozenstruik ended up connecting on 109 of 229 total strikes.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Raphael Assuncao faces off against Cody Garbrandt. Assuncao steps into the cage holding a mark of 27-7-0. The 37-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures 5'5". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 66". Garbrandt stands in at 5'8" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 11-3-0. The 28-year-old reaches 65". When it comes to grappling, Raphael Assuncao gets a takedown 1.54 times per 3 rds and Cody Garbrandt is averaging a takedown 0.94 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Assuncao connects for an average of 3.32 strikes per minute and is connecting on 41% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Cody Garbrandt, who is landing 37% of his attempted strikes and connects on 3.53 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Miguel Baeza is set to clash with Matt Brown. Brown holds a mark of 24-16-0. The 39-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Baeza measures 6'2" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 8-0-0. The 27-year-old stretches 74". Concerning wrestling, Matt Brown is able to stop 63% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown tries on 47% of his tries. Baeza is taking his opponents down on 33% of the tries he takes and is able to defend against 95% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, Brown takes 2.58 strikes per minute while he is dishing out 3.75 strikes/min. Baeza, notwithstanding, absorbs 4.30 strikes/minute and lands 4.26 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Francis Ngannou (-270)

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Francis Ngannou vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik UFC Predictions & Tips - 3/28/2020

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