Drew Dober vs Nasrat Haqparast Expert UFC Picks - 1/18/2020

Drew Dober vs Nasrat Haqparast

UFC 246

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, January 18, 2020

Drew Dober will face off with Nasrat Haqparast at UFC 246 in T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday, January 18, 2020. The opening odds have Dober priced at +250 while Haqparast is coming in at -300.

Drew Dober has a career mark of 21-9-0. The 31-year-old weighs 155 lbs and stands 5' 8". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 70". Nasrat Haqparast measures 5' 10" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a mark of 11-2-0. The 24-year-old stretches 72". When talking about significant strikes, Drew Dober is landing 4.44 per min and Nasrat Haqparast lands 5.24 significant strikes per min. Dober lands 39% of the significant strikes he tries and Haqparast lands 46%. Concerning their defense in the cage, Dober allows 4.14 significant strikes per minute while Haqparast takes 3.20. Dober also thwarts 53% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Haqparast defends against 75% of them.

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In the grappling category, Drew Dober is the better wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.96 times per 15 min. Dober is taking his opponents to the canvas on 17% of his tries and is stuffing 62% of all takedowns attempted on him. Haqparast is taking his opponents to the mat on 25% of his takedown tries and thwarting 78% of the tries against him. Regarding submissions, Dober is the more experienced submission fighter by trying 0.7 submissions per 3 rounds while Haqparast looks to get 0.3 submissions per 15 min.

In his previous bout, Drew Dober went up against Polo Reyes and got a win for the night via a punch to the head in round 1. Reyes ended up landing 5 of 14 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Dober finished this fight landing 17 of 29 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Reyes landed 5 of 14, which means his percentage was 35%. He ended up landing 4 of 13 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Dober landed 59% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 16 of 27. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 15 of 22 to the head. All of the significant strikes landed by Reyes and 68% of them landed by Dober were tallied at a distance.

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In the last bout for Nasrat Haqparast, he squared up with Joaquim Silva and got a win for the night by a punch to the head in round 2. Silva landed all of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Haqparast landed 57% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Haqparast ended up landing 55% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 21 of 38. He landed 18 of 33 significant strikes to the head. Silva ended up landing 15 of 56 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 0 of 35 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he threw in that fight, Silva was 15 of 56 while Haqparast landed 21 of 38 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Chas Skelly meets Grant Dawson. Skelly looks to add a victory to his career record of 18-4-0. The 34-year-old weighs 145 lbs and measures in at 5' 11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Dawson comes in at 5' 10" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his record of 14-1-0. The 25-year-old has a reach of 72". In terms of takedowns, Chas Skelly is averaging a takedown 1.71 times per 3 rds and Grant Dawson takes his opponents down 5.23 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Skelly connects on 2.02 strikes per min and lands 40% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Grant Dawson, who is connecting on 46% of his attempted strikes and lands an average of 3.76 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Askar Askarov is set to square up in the Octagon against Tim Elliott. Elliott walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 16-9-1. The 33-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands in at 5' 7". The southpaw fighter reaches 66". Askarov comes in at 5' 6" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 10-0-1. The 27-year-old stretches 67". Concerning wrestling, Tim Elliott is able to defend against 51% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown attempts on 63% of the times he tries. Askarov is taking his opponents down on 36% of his attempts and stops 5% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Elliott is taking 2.30 strikes per minute and he is dealing 3.53 per min. Askarov, on the other side, absorbs 2.27 strikes per min and deals 2.00 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Drew Dober (+250)

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