Demian Maia vs Gilbert Burns UFC Point Spread Picks - 3/14/2020

Demian Maia vs Gilbert Burns

UFC Fight Night 170

Ginasio Nilson Nelson Arena in Brazil

Saturday, March 14, 2020

Demian Maia will enter the Octagon against Gilbert Burns at UFC Fight Night 170 in Ginasio Nilson Nelson Arena in Brazil on Saturday, March 14, 2020. The opening line has Maia priced at +175 while Burns is at -210.

Demian Maia Maia has a career mark of 28-9-0. The 42-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and comes in at 6' 1". The southpaw fighter stretches 72". Gilbert "Durinho" Burns measures in at 5' 10" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 17-3-0. The 33-year-old stretches 71". In terms of significant strikes, Demian Maia is landing 1.82 per minute and Gilbert Burns is connecting on 3.09 significant strikes per minute. Maia is connecting on 43% of the significant strikes he attempts and Burns is landing 43%. Regarding defending, Maia absorbs 2.01 significant strikes per minute while "Durinho" allows 3.05. Maia also curbs 63% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Burns is able to defend against 57% of them.

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When it comes to grappling, Demian Maia is the more capable grappler as he is averaging a takedown 2.49 times per 3 rounds. Maia is finishing his takedown attempts on 25% of his attempts and defending 61% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Burns is taking his opponents to the mat on 38% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 50% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of going for the submission, Maia is the more capable of the two fighters by attempting 1.1 submissions per 3 rounds while Burns goes for 0.7 submissions per 3 rds.

In his previous fight, Demian Maia faced Ben Askren and took home the win via rear naked choke in round 3. Askren ended up landing 102 of 168 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Maia finished this fight landing 84 of 137 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Askren landed 63 of 127, which gave him a rate of 49%. He landed 54 of 116 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Maia landed 56% of his significant strikes by sticking 69 of 122. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 44 of 88 to the head. 73% of the significant strikes connected on by Askren and 71% of them landed by Maia were thrown at a distance.

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In the last bout for Gilbert Burns, he battled Aleksei Kunchenko and wound up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Kunchenko ended up landing 70% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Burns ended up connecting on 73% of his significant strikes at distance. Burns ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 42 of 83. He landed 22 of 54 significant strikes to the head. Kunchenko connected on 47 of 102 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 20 of 63 to the head. Relating to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Kunchenko ended up landing 115 of 172 and Burns connected on 63 of 107 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Renato Moicano squares up against Damir Hadzovic. Moicano comes into this fight with a record of 13-3-1. The 30-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands 5' 11". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Hadzovic stands in at 5' 9" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 13-5-0. The 33-year-old stretches 70". In terms of takedowns, Renato Moicano takes his opponents to the mat 1.16 times per 15 min and Damir Hadzovic scores a takedown 0.68 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Moicano lands an average of 5.53 strikes/minute and lands 46% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Damir Hadzovic, who tags his opponent on 46% of the strikes that he throws and connects for an average of 3.00 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Nikita Krylov is set to meet Johnny Walker. Walker steps into the cage with a record of 17-4-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and measures in at 6' 6". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 82". Krylov stands in at 6' 3" and will fight at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 26-7-0. The 27-year-old stretches 77". Concerning grappling, Johnny Walker defends against 80% of the takedowns his opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 90% of his attempts. Krylov is finishing his takedowns on 38% of his tries and prevents 52% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Walker is absorbing 4.02 strikes per min while he dishes out 5.17 per minute. Krylov, on the contrary, takes 2.45 strikes per min and deals 4.86 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Gilbert Burns (-210)

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