Danny Roberts vs Nicolas Dalby UFC Point Spread Picks - 3/21/2020

Danny Roberts vs Nicolas Dalby

UFC Fight Night 171

The O2 Arena in London, England

Saturday, March 21, 2020

Danny Roberts will enter the Octagon against Nicolas Dalby at UFC Fight Night 171 in The O2 Arena in London, England on Saturday, March 21, 2020. The opening line has Roberts priced at +145 while Dalby is coming in at -165.

Danny "Hot Chocolate" Roberts looks to add a victory to his career total of 17-5-0. The 32-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and stands in at 6' 1". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 74". Nicolas "Lokomotivo" Dalby measures 5' 11" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 18-3-1. The 35-year-old extends his reach 74". Concerning significant strikes, Danny Roberts is connecting on 3.41 per minute and Nicolas Dalby connects on 3.03 significant strikes per minute. Roberts is landing 44% of the significant strikes he attempts and Dalby is landing 38%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Hot Chocolate" allows 3.08 significant strikes per min while "Lokomotivo" absorbs 2.91. Roberts also stops 55% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Dalby is able to defend against 56% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

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In terms of grappling, Danny Roberts is not as effective of a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.18 times per 15 minutes. Roberts is taking his opponents to the canvas on 6% of the times he tries and thwarting 53% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Dalby is taking his opponents down on 45% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 58% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Roberts is the more skilled technician by attempting 0.4 finishes per 3 rounds while Dalby attempts 0.0 finishes per 15 min.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Danny Roberts squared up with Zelim Imadaev and ended up getting the win via a punch to the head in round 2. Imadaev landed 38 of 84 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Roberts walked away from this fight having landed 42 of 68 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Imadaev ended up landing 28 of 71, which means his percentage was 39%. He ended up landing 15 of 54 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Roberts landed 60% of his significant strikes by connecting on 37 of 61. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 10 of 34 aimed at the head. 67% of the significant strikes connected on by Imadaev and 48% of them connected on by Roberts were thrown at distance.

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In the last fight for Nicolas Dalby, he went up against Alex Oliveira and ended up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Oliveira connected on 72% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Dalby landed 29% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Dalby landed 36% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 31 of 84. He ended up landing 19 of 64 significant strikes directed at the head. Oliveira connected on 18 of 47 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 14 of 40 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Oliveira landed 31 of 65 while Dalby ended up connecting on 64 of 122 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Jack Marshman clashes with Kevin Holland. Marshman walks into the cage with a mark of 23-9-0. The 30-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and measures 6' 0". The orthodox fighter reaches 73". Holland stands 6' 3" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 16-5-0. The 27-year-old has an arm span of 81". In terms of takedowns, Jack Marshman gets his opposition to the mat 0.2 times per 3 rds while Kevin Holland is able to score a takedown 1.27 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Marshman lands 2.64 strikes per minute and connects on 28% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Kevin Holland, who lands 54% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 4.16 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Marvin Vettori is set to meet Darren Stewart. Stewart steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 11-4-0. The 29-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and measures 6' 0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". Vettori comes in at 6' 0" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his total of 14-4-1. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 74". Concerning grappling, Darren Stewart is able to thwart 65% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is getting his opponent to the mat on 44% of his tries. Vettori is finishing his takedown tries on 45% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 80% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Stewart absorbs 2.44 strikes/min while he is dealing 2.94 strikes/min. Vettori, on the contrary, is taking 2.85 strikes/minute and connects on 4.05 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Nicolas Dalby (-165)

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