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Cody Stamann vs Raoni Barcelos UFC Point Spread Picks - 3/28/2020


by Josh Schonwald - 3/16/2020

Cody Stamann UFC

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Cody Stamann vs Raoni Barcelos

UFC on ESPN 8

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 28, 2020

 

PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS EVENT HAS BEEN CANCELLED DUE TO THE CORONAVIRUS.

 

Cody Stamann will face off with Raoni Barcelos at UFC on ESPN 8 in UFC Apex in Las Vegas on Saturday, March 28, 2020. The opening moneyline has Stamann priced at +175 while Barcelos is at -210.

Cody "The Spartan" Stamann walks into the cage with a record of 18-2-1. The 30-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 64". Raoni Barcelos stands in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 15-1-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 67". Regarding significant strikes, Cody Stamann connects on 4.25 per min and Raoni Barcelos is landing 4.79 significant strikes per min. Stamann is landing 49% of the significant strikes he throws while Barcelos is connecting on 50%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Spartan" takes 3.06 significant strikes per min and Barcelos absorbs 4.46. Stamann also stops 64% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Barcelos curbs 64% of the shots thrown his way.

Related: Why the Line Moves: Expert Betting Advice and Analysis

When it comes to takedowns, Cody Stamann is the more skilled wrestler as he gets a takedown 3.58 times per 3 rds. Stamann is scoring a takedown on 48% of his attempts and thwarting 86% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Barcelos is scoring a takedown on 58% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 83% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Stamann is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.6 submissions per 3 rounds while Barcelos goes for 0.7 submissions per 15 min.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Cody Stamann went up against Song Yadong and had a draw. Yadong ended up landing 49 of 127 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Stamann finished this fight landing 117 of 150 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Yadong ended up landing 30 of 105, which gave him a percentage of 28%. He finished the fight landing 21 of 94 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Stamann ended up landing 61% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 41 of 67. Of all the significant strikes, he was 34 of 57 pointed at the head. 90% of the significant strikes landed by Yadong and 56% of them connected on by Stamann were done at a distance.

Related: Get UFC tips & picks

 

In the last bout for Raoni Barcelos, he fought Said Nurmagomedov and ended up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Nurmagomedov ended up landing 89% of his significant strikes at distance and Barcelos landed 76% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Barcelos connected on 42% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 42 of 100. He landed 16 of 61 significant strikes aimed at the head. Nurmagomedov connected on 55 of 172 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 24 of 131 aimed at the head. In terms of the strikes he fired off in this contest, Nurmagomedov ended up connecting on 77 of 200 while Barcelos connected on 52 of 112 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Louis Smolka clashes with Davey Grant. Smolka holds a career mark of 16-6-0. The 28-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 68". Grant comes in at 5'8" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 11-4-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 69". In terms of takedowns, Louis Smolka gets a takedown 1.65 times per 3 rds while Davey Grant is averaging a takedown 2.64 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Smolka connects on 4.22 strikes per min and is connecting on 46% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Davey Grant, who lands 52% of the strikes that he throws and connects for an average of 3.13 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Eddie Wineland is set to square up against Marlon Vera. Vera will be looking to add a win to his career total of 15-5-1. The 27-year-old is weighing in at 135 lbs and stands 5'8". The switch fighter has a reach of 70". Wineland measures 5'7" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 24-13-1. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 69". When it comes to takedowns, Marlon Vera is stopping 68% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents down on 38% of his tries. Wineland is finishing his takedowns on 28% of his tries and is able to deflect 86% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Vera absorbs 3.82 strikes/minute while he dishes out 3.43 per minute. Wineland, in contrast, is absorbing 3.51 strikes per minute and dishes out 3.41 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Raoni Barcelos (-210)

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