Chas Skelly vs Grant Dawson Predictions, Picks, UFC 246 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 1/6/2020

Chas Skelly vs Grant Dawson

UFC 246

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, January 18, 2020

Chas Skelly will enter the Octagon against Grant Dawson at UFC 246 in T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday, January 18, 2020. The moneyline has Skelly coming in at +175 while Dawson is priced at -210.

Chas "The Scrapper" Skelly looks to add a victory to his career record of 18-4-0. The 34-year-old weighs 145 lbs and measures in at 5' 11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Grant "KGD" Dawson comes in at 5' 10" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his record of 14-1-0. The 25-year-old has a reach of 72". When talking about significant strikes, Chas Skelly is connecting on 2.02 per min while Grant Dawson is connecting on 3.76 significant strikes per min. Skelly is connecting on 40% of the significant strikes he attempts while Dawson lands 46%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "The Scrapper" takes 3.35 significant strikes per minute and "KGD" allows 2.51. Skelly also defends 48% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Dawson is able to thwart 45% of the shots thrown.

Regarding takedowns, Chas Skelly is not as efficient of a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 1.71 times per 3 rds. Skelly is scoring a takedown on 34% of his attempts and is defending 33% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Dawson is finishing his takedowns on 45% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 50% of the tries against him. Regarding sub attempts, Skelly is the more experienced of the two fighters by going for 2.4 finishes per 3 rounds while Dawson goes for 2.1 finishes per 15 minutes.

The last time he fought, Chas Skelly fought Jordan Griffin and wound up taking home the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Griffin landed 66 of 122 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Skelly finished this fight landing 80 of 125 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Griffin ended up landing 37 of 87, which gave him a percentage of 42%. He finished the fight landing 36 of 84 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Skelly ended up landing 35% of his significant strikes by connecting on 21 of 59. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 20 of 52 pointed at the head. 86% of the significant strikes landed by Griffin and 95% of them connected on by Skelly were tallied at distance.

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In the last fight for Grant Dawson, he went up against Michael Trizano and wound up getting the win by rear naked choke in round 2. Trizano connected on 80% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Dawson ended up connecting on 55% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Dawson connected on 48% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 27 of 56. He ended up landing 9 of 32 significant strikes aimed at the head. Trizano ended up landing 20 of 41 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 10 of 30 to the head. Relating to total strikes thrown, Trizano landed 24 of 45 and Dawson was 34 of 63 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Tim Elliott opposes Askar Askarov. Elliott walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 16-9-1. The 33-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands in at 5' 7". The southpaw fighter reaches 66". Askarov comes in at 5' 6" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 10-0-1. The 27-year-old stretches 67". In terms of takedowns, Tim Elliott gets his opposition to the mat 4.28 times per 15 minutes while Askar Askarov takes his opponents to the canvas 4.00 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Elliott lands an average of 3.53 strikes per minute and landing 46% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Askar Askarov, who lands 47% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 2.00 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Raquel Pennington is set to fight Holly Holm. Holm walks into the Octagon holding a record of 12-5-0. The 38-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and comes in at 5' 8". The southpaw fighter extends her reach 69". Pennington comes in at 5' 7" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 10-8-0. The 31-year-old extends her reach 67". Regarding wrestling, Holly Holm defends against 79% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 31% of the times she tries. Pennington is taking her opponents to the mat on 26% of the tries she takes and is able to curb 64% of all takedown tries against her. In the matter of striking, Holm is taking 2.83 strikes per min while she is landing 2.82 per minute. Pennington, moreover, is taking 3.33 strikes per minute and is dealing 3.39 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Grant Dawson (-210)

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