Casey Kenney vs Merab Dvalishvili UFC Point Spread Picks - 2/15/2020

Casey Kenney vs Merab Dvalishvili

UFC Fight Night 167

Santa Ana Star Center in Rio Rancho, New Mexico

Saturday, February 15, 2020

Casey Kenney will battle Merab Dvalishvili at UFC Fight Night 167 in Santa Ana Star Center in Rio Rancho, New Mexico on Saturday, February 15, 2020. The line has Kenney coming in at +185 while Dvalishvili is coming in at -225.

Casey Kenney has a mark of 13-1-1. The 28-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands 5' 7". The southpaw fighter reaches 68". Merab "The Machine" Dvalishvili stands 5' 6" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 9-4-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 68". With respect to significant strikes, Casey Kenney lands 3.48 per min while Merab Dvalishvili is landing 3.75 significant strikes per minute. Kenney lands 41% of the significant strikes he tries and Dvalishvili lands 37%. Regarding defense, Kenney allows 2.95 significant strikes per minute while "The Machine" allows 2.20. Kenney also deflects 52% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Dvalishvili thwarts 55% of the shots thrown.

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Concerning wrestling, Casey Kenney is the lesser skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.75 times per 3 rds. Kenney is getting his opponent to the mat on 50% of his attempts and thwarting 54% of the takedowns his opponents try. Dvalishvili is getting his opponent to the mat on 43% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 80% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Kenney is the more apt fighter by attempting 0.8 finishes per 15 min while Dvalishvili goes for 0.4 finishes per 15 min.

The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Casey Kenney squared up with Manny Bermudez and wound up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Bermudez landed 59 of 83 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Kenney ended the night having landed 56 of 85 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Bermudez landed 37 of 59, which gave him a rate of 62%. He landed 29 of 47 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Kenney landed 62% of his significant strikes by sticking 43 of 69. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 21 of 42 pointed at the head. 59% of the significant strikes connected on by Bermudez and 60% of them connected on by Kenney were thrown at a distance.

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In the last fight for Merab Dvalishvili, he faced off with Brad Katona and got a win for the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Katona landed 53% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Dvalishvili ended up landing 43% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Dvalishvili connected on 53% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 55 of 102. He connected on 43 of 85 significant strikes aimed at the head. Katona connected on 32 of 56 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 21 of 41 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Katona ended up connecting on 43 of 70 while Dvalishvili was 215 of 274 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Mark De La Rosa squares up in the Octagon against Raulian Paiva. De La Rosa steps into the Octagon with a record of 11-3-0. The 25-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands 5' 6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 65". Paiva stands in at 5' 8" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 18-3-0. The 24-year-old reaches 69". In the grappling category, Mark De La Rosa is averaging a takedown 0.77 times per 3 rounds and Raulian Paiva takes his opponents down 0.46 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, De La Rosa is connecting on 3.05 strikes/min and connects on 36% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Raulian Paiva, who is landing 43% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 4.59 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Mara Romero Borella is set to meet Montana De La Rosa. De La Rosa will be looking to add a win to her record of 10-5-0. The 24-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands 5' 7". The orthodox fighter stretches 68". Romero Borella measures 5' 6" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 12-6-0. The 33-year-old reaches 69". In terms of grappling, Montana De La Rosa defends against 50% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 33% of the times she tries. Romero Borella is taking her opponents to the mat on 41% of her tries and is able to prevent 66% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, De La Rosa absorbs 3.28 strikes per min and she lands 2.49 per min. Romero Borella, on the other hand, is absorbing 2.87 strikes/min and is landing 2.98 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Merab Dvalishvili (-225)

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