Brendan Allen vs Tom Breese UFC Picks & Predictions - 2/29/2020

Brendan Allen vs Tom Breese

UFC Fight Night 169

Chartway Arena in Norfolk, VA

Saturday, February 29, 2020

Brendan Allen will enter the Octagon against Tom Breese at UFC Fight Night 169 in Chartway Arena in Norfolk, VA on Saturday, February 29, 2020. The opening line has Allen coming in at +110 while Breese is at -130.

Brendan "All In" Allen will be looking to add a victory to his total of 13-3-0. The 24-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Tom Breese stands in at 6'3" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 11-1-0. The 28-year-old reaches 73". When talking about significant strikes, Brendan Allen connects on 2.00 per min and Tom Breese lands 3.85 significant strikes per minute. Allen is connecting on 53% of the significant strikes he attempts and Breese lands 49%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "All In" takes 3.58 significant strikes per min and Breese allows 2.57. Allen also thwarts 31% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Breese is able to thwart 65% of the shots thrown his way.

Related: Why the Line Moves: Expert Betting Advice and Analysis

Regarding grappling, Brendan Allen is the more effective wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 3.74 times per 15 min. Allen is scoring a takedown on 42% of his attempts and stuffing 66% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Breese is finishing his takedown attempts on 10% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 72% of the tries against him. Regarding submission attempts, Allen is the more skilled fighter by attempting 6.2 subs per 3 rds while Breese tries 0.3 subs per 15 min.

In his previous fight, Brendan Allen went up against Kevin Holland and wound up getting the win by rear naked choke in round 2. Holland ended up landing 37 of 55 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Allen walked away from this fight having landed 23 of 41 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Holland ended up landing 22 of 38, which gave him a rate of 57%. He ended up landing 14 of 27 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Allen landed 45% of his significant strikes by connecting on 10 of 22. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 7 of 19 pointed at the head. 54% of the significant strikes landed by Holland and 50% of them connected on by Allen were done at distance.

Related: Get MMA tips & picks

In the last bout for Tom Breese, he faced off with Daniel Kelly and ended up getting the win by a punch to the head in round 1. Kelly ended up landing 90% of his significant strikes at distance and Breese ended up connecting on 95% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Breese ended up landing 52% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 23 of 44. He landed 21 of 41 significant strikes directed at the head. Kelly connected on 6 of 28 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 1 of 19 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes thrown, Kelly was 6 of 28 and Breese ended up landing 23 of 44 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Marcin Tybura takes on Serghei Spivac. Tybura steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 17-6-0. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 249 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 78". Spivac measures 6'3" and weighs in at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 10-1-0. The 25-year-old extends his reach 78". In terms of takedowns, Marcin Tybura takes his opponents to the mat 1.48 times per 15 min and Serghei Spivac takes his opponents to the canvas 9.93 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Tybura is landing 3.61 strikes/minute and is connecting on 51% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Serghei Spivac, who connects on 53% of the strikes that he throws and connects for an average of 2.65 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Deiveson Figueiredo is set to fight Joseph Benavidez. Benavidez walks into the Octagon with a mark of 28-5-0. The 35-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 65". Figueiredo stands in at 5'5" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 17-1-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 68". In terms of wrestling, Joseph Benavidez prevents 65% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 31% of his attempts. Figueiredo is finishing his takedown tries on 47% of the tries he takes and defends against 59% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Benavidez is absorbing 2.52 strikes per minute and he deals 3.46 strikes/minute. Figueiredo, at the same time, absorbs 2.40 strikes per minute and dishes out 2.44 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Tom Breese (-130)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here