Alex Oliveira vs Max Griffin Expert UFC Picks - 3/7/2020

Alex Oliveira vs Max Griffin

UFC 248

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 7, 2020

Alex Oliveira will face off with Max Griffin at UFC 248 in T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday, March 7, 2020. The line has Oliveira priced at -145 while Griffin is at +125.

Alex "Cowboy" Oliveira will be looking to add a win to his record of 19-8-1. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and stands in at 5' 11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 76". Max "Pain" Griffin measures in at 5' 11" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 15-7-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 76". In terms of significant strikes, Alex Oliveira is connecting on 2.90 per min and Max Griffin connects on 4.22 significant strikes per minute. Oliveira is landing 50% of the significant strikes he tries while Griffin is landing 49%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Cowboy" takes 2.25 significant strikes per minute while "Pain" absorbs 4.11. Oliveira also deflects 46% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Griffin prevents 56% of the shots thrown.

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When it comes to grappling, Alex Oliveira is the more efficient grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 2.86 times per 3 rounds. Oliveira is scoring a takedown on 39% of his tries and thwarting 61% of all takedowns attempted on him. Griffin is taking his opponents down on 54% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 63% of the tries against him. In terms of going for the submission, Oliveira is the more skilled fighter by attempting 0.7 subs per 15 min while Griffin looks to get 0.6 subs per 3 rds.

In his last bout, Alex Oliveira faced Nicolas Dalby and walked away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Dalby landed 64 of 122 total strikes that he let go. Oliveira finished this fight landing 31 of 65 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Dalby landed 31 of 84, which gave him a rate of 36%. He finished the fight landing 19 of 64 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Oliveira landed 38% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 18 of 47. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 14 of 40 aimed at the head. 29% of the significant strikes connected on by Dalby and 72% of them landed by Oliveira were tallied at a distance.

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In the last bout for Max Griffin, he fought Alex Morono and wound up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Morono connected on 83% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Griffin connected on 92% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Griffin ended up connecting on 45% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 75 of 166. He ended up landing 37 of 115 significant strikes aimed at the head. Morono connected on 81 of 255 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 60 of 229 to the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that contest, Morono landed 87 of 261 and Griffin landed 94 of 189 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Sean O'Malley faces off with Jose Quinonez. O'Malley walks into the cage holding a record of 10-0-0. The 25-year-old is weighing in at 135 lbs and comes in at 5' 11". The switch fighter reaches 72". Quinonez measures in at 5' 8" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 9-3-0. The 29-year-old reaches 69". When it comes to grappling, Sean O'Malley gets a takedown 1.31 times per 3 rounds and Jose Quinonez takes his opponents to the mat 2.64 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, O'Malley connects on 6.75 strikes/minute and is connecting on 56% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Jose Quinonez, who connects on 47% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 3.49 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Austin Hubbard is set to meet Mark Madsen. Madsen looks to add a win to his career record of 9-0-0. The 35-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and comes in at 5' 8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 72". Hubbard stands 5' 10" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 11-3-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 71". In terms of wrestling, Mark Madsen thwarts 10% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of his attempts. Hubbard is taking his opponents down on 60% of the attempts he tries and thwarts 62% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Madsen is absorbing 1.26 strikes per min while he lands 18.33 strikes per min. Hubbard, on the other hand, takes 3.57 strikes/minute and is connecting on 3.17 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Alex Oliveira (-145)

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