NFL Office Pool Picks Week 13

I feel pretty good about last week. There were three games that we were on the wrong side of, but all I am comfortable with. Picking the Jets and the Redskins is not good for your long-term health, so being beat by them is not so bad. And I have given up trying to figure out either the Bucs or the Falcons - both teams totally and utterly confound me - so losing on that game just feels inevitable. But all in all, it was solid. And as we move into the first week without byes in a long time, and the unique time with six teams facing short weeks and Thursday games, here's how I see the week breaking down with straight up picks to help you dominate your NFL office pools:

Chicago at Detroit: Detroit looked so promising early on this year, but the wheels have just fallen right off and been lost entirely. The Bears aren't exactly dominant, but they are coming off a win, they are alright at home, and their coach is somewhat less likely to be fired in a month. Take the Bears.

Buffalo at Dallas: Jerry Jones has not been particularly happy with is coaching staff all year, and he hasn't been shy to talk about it. But that was taken to a whole new level after the debacle on Sunday. This team does so many things poorly. And the Bills just keep chugging along. Take the Bills.

New Orleans at Atlanta: The last time these teams met was easily the most confusing game of the season. So, so strange. But the Saints have shaken it off and played like themselves. They faced some adversity against the Panthers last week, but they dealt with it like the pros they are. The Falcons, meanwhile, remembered that they are the Falcons is a truly pathetic performance after briefly rising up in the weeks before. Take the Saints.

New York Jets at Cincinnati: I don't actually believe that the Jets are any good, but they have figured some things out, and dismantled the Raiders last week about as thoroughly as you can dismantle a team. And now they travel to play a Bengals team that isn't even close to a real NFL team. This could get ugly. Take the Jets - a sentence I didn't imagine myself writing this year.

Tennessee at Indianapolis: The Colts tease me like they want respect, then they come out like they did last week and remind me that they really don't deserve too much of it. It's not like Tennessee is great, either - the teams have the same underwhelming 6-5 record - but at least they are winning right now. Take the Titans.

Philadelphia at Miami: Philadelphia has lost two straight, has all sorts of problems, and is going nowhere fast. Against most teams, they would be in trouble on the road. Against Miami , though, they are quite attractive. That's the Dolphins factor in play for you. Take the Eagles.

Green Bay at New York Giants: Green Bay got thoroughly humbled last week, justifying my total lack of trust in them and their coaching staff all week. I mean, that play calling was so bad it's almost criminal. But they are playing the Giants - a team that is flattered by the fact that their losing streak is only seven games wrong. Take the Packers.

Cleveland at Pittsburgh: Interesting game. The Browns have woken up a bit but are still far from a complete team. And they are on the road here - albeit against a Pittsburgh team with plenty of issues. And this one will be very emotionally charged after the way the last one ended. When in doubt, take the home team. The Steelers are the pick.

Washington at Carolina: Carolina deserves better than their 5-6 record. Not tons better, but better. Washington deserves worse than their 2-9 record. This should be a mismatch. Take the Panthers.

Tampa Bay at Jacksonville: I don't know what it is about the South divisions. All of the teams I can't figure out this year are in that division in the AFC or the NFC. These two are definitely right up there. I'll default to the home team Jaguars, but with no confidence whatsoever.

San Francisco at Baltimore: The game of the year, and it's not even close. This one has absolutely everything. Explosive offenses. Strong defenses. Great coaching. So, so good. I think I like San Francisco a tiny but more overall right now, but it's a microscopic difference and the location means everything, so take the Ravens.

L.A. Rams at Arizona: This is a mess of a game. The Rams are broken. They didn't do a single thing well on Monday night. There is no swagger. Really, there is only the opposite of swagger. The Cardinals have plenty of issues, but they are trying. Let's go for what is much less of an upset it would have seemed coming into the year and take the Cardinals.

L.A. Chargers at Denver: Denver can't confidently say who their QB is. In late November. Ouch. Take the Chargers - even though they aren't exactly tearing it up this year.

Oakland at Kansas City: I was already really struggling to have an ounce of respect for the Raiders anyway, and then they no-showed on Sunday. The Chiefs, meanwhile, have had a bye week to address some of what is ailing them. Take the Chiefs.

New England at Houston: The Patriots are not great right now, but they just keep finding ways to win. And Bill Belichick hates losing to former assistants. Houston is going to allow some points, and the defense of New England is a lot for them to deal with. Take the Patriots.

Minnesota at Seattle: I really want to take the Vikings here. They will be fresh off a bye. They have figured things out the last month or so. I like them. But Seattle is hot, dialed in, and at home. I have to take the home team. Seahawks it is, with only a mild internal protest.

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