Free NBA Picks Friday, December 27 and Opening Line Report

by Jason Radowitz - 12/26/2019

The Cavaliers, Warriors, and Thunder are on winning streaks coming into Friday's NBA slate. The 76ers and Celtics are coming off big-time wins, while the NBA's best team in the Bucks take on the worst team in the NBA in the Hawks. There's some interesting matchups to say the least. Here's the breakdown and early lean for Friday's games.

Cavaliers @ Celtics (-13, 215.5)

The Cavs have now won three straight games against low-quality opponents. They're not back, and they still stink. The Celtics have won their last four games against teams like Dallas and Toronto. The spread is high, and the Cavs are playing really good basketball. But don't get fooled. The Celtics will dominate the Cavs in every which way. The Cavs are currently fake news. Take the Celtics and the Under.

Key trends: Cavaliers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Early lean: Celtics, Under

Thunder @ Hornets (+4.5, TBD)

The Thunder have now won four straight games after coming off a win against the Clippers at home. The Thunder went 4-0 at home but will now take on the Hornets on the road. The Hornets have struggled, losing four of their last five games. Look for the Thunder to take the undefeated homestand and build on it with this one. OKC is now over .500 and eyeing a legitimate possibility of turning the season around and making the playoffs. Sure, it's too early to think about that, but they've been playing like it. Take the Thunder -4.5.

Key trends: Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.

Early lean: Thunder, Under

76ers @ Magic (+2.5, 208.5)

The 76ers defeated the Bucks on Christmas day. A huge win for the team that has now won three straight games by double-digits. Orlando struggled in their last five, losing three of four road games but winning their most recent game, at home, against the Bulls. This game has the makings for a let-down game for the 76ers . But the good news is, Vegas knows that too. If the spread was larger, I would lean the Magic, but a 2.5 spread is enough for the 76ers to pull away late and clinch the cover with some free throws.

Key trends: 76ers are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Early lean: 76ers, Over

Bucks @ Hawks (-11, 237.5)

The Bucks have taken two losses in the last five games. But don't be fooled. They're still the best team in the NBA, and the two losses were to clear playoff teams. The Hawks are 1-9 in their last 10 and will not have an easy go against the Bucks, who will be disappointed after last game. The Cavs, who have won three straight, are getting more points than the Hawks . This is easy. Take the Bucks in a blowout.

Key trends: Bucks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Early lean: Bucks, Over

Pacers @ Heat (-5.5, TBD)

The Pacers and Heat are coming into this game winning seven of their last 10 games. Each team has won four of their last five and are playing very good basketball. The Pacers just defeated the Raptors in overtime, while the Heat played a close one against the Jazz. Home-court advantage is key, especially if you're the Miami Heat. I trust Miami to scrape this game out and win a close won, while covering the spread.

Key trends: Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Early lean: Heat, Under

Suns @ Warriors (+2.5, 221.5)

Did anyone see Christmas day? The Warriors pounced all over the Rockets in the second half. The Warriors have now won three straight games behind Draymond Green and D'Angelo Russell. The Suns, after starting the season red hot, have now won two of their last 10. With the Warriors streaking and home, you better believe the Warriors will continue the streak and win their four games in a row. You even get 2.5 points at home.

Key trends: Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.

Early lean: Warriors, Over

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Free NBA Picks Friday, December 27 and Opening Line Report

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