Warlley Alves vs Randy Brown Predictions, Picks, UFC Fight Night 164 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/8/2019

Warlley Alves vs Randy Brown

UFC Fight Night 164

Ginasio do Ibirapuera in Paraiso Brazil

Saturday, November 16, 2019

Warlley Alves will face off against Randy Brown at UFC Fight Night 164 in Ginasio do Ibirapuera in Paraiso Brazil on Saturday, November 16, 2019. The line has Alves coming in at -175 while Brown is at +145.

Warlley Alves walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 14-3-0. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and stands in at 5' 11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Randy "Rudeboy" Brown stands in at 6' 3" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 11-3-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 78". Concerning significant strikes, Warlley Alves lands 3.16 per minute while Randy Brown connects on 3.48 significant strikes per min. Alves is landing 46% of the significant strikes he attempts while Brown is connecting on 47%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, Alves allows 3.75 significant strikes per min while "Rudeboy" takes 2.56. Alves also defends 51% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Brown stops 55% of the shots thrown in his direction.

When it comes to takedowns, Warlley Alves is the better grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.06 times per 3 rounds. Alves is finishing his takedown attempts on 44% of his attempts and is defending 80% of all takedown tries against him. Brown is scoring a takedown on 41% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 77% of the tries against him. Regarding subbing the opposition, Alves is the more able fighter by attempting 0.8 finishes per 15 minutes while Brown goes for 0.5 finishes per 3 rds.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Warlley Alves fought Sergio Moraes and took home the win by way of a punch to the head in round 3. Moraes landed 20 of 62 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Alves ended the night having landed 72 of 157 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Moraes ended up landing 20 of 62, which gave him a rate of 32%. He landed 12 of 52 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Alves ended up landing 45% of his significant strikes by sticking 72 of 157. Of those significant strikes, he landed 36 of 107 pointed at the head. 95% of the significant strikes connected on by Moraes and 97% of them connected on by Alves were thrown at distance.

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In the last fight for Randy Brown, he squared up with Bryan Barberena and ended up getting the win via a kick to the body in round 3. Barberena ended up connecting on 61% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Brown ended up connecting on 66% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Brown landed 58% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 89 of 152. He ended up connecting on 44 of 97 significant strikes aimed at the head. Barberena ended up connecting on 47 of 101 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 15 of 55 to the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Barberena connected on 122 of 178 and Brown ended up landing 91 of 154 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Douglas Silva de Andrade will square up with Renan Barao. Silva de Andrade comes into this bout holding a record of 25-3-0. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands in at 5' 7". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 68". Barao measures 5' 6" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 36-8-0. The 32-year-old stretches 70". In terms of takedowns, Douglas Silva de Andrade is averaging a takedown 0.78 times per 3 rounds and Renan Barao takes his opponents to the mat 1.46 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Silva de Andrade connects on 3.77 strikes per min and landing 36% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Renan Barao, who tags his opponent on 36% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 3.78 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Priscila Cachoeira is set to meet Ariane Lipski. Lipski looks to add a win to her career record of 11-5-0. The 25-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and comes in at 5' 3". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 67". Cachoeira measures in at 5' 7" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her career total of 8-3-0. The 31-year-old reaches 65". Regarding wrestling, Ariane Lipski is able to stop 40% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 90% of the times she tries. Cachoeira is finishing her takedown tries on 10% of the tries she takes and thwarts 69% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Lipski is taking 6.43 strikes per min and she is landing 4.03 strikes per min. Cachoeira, notwithstanding, absorbs 7.94 strikes/minute and dishes out 3.70 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Randy Brown (+145)

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