Thiago Alves vs Tim Means Predictions, Picks, UFC on ESPN 7 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/21/2019

Thiago Alves vs Tim Means

UFC on ESPN 7

Capital One Arena in Washington, DC

Saturday, December 7, 2019

Thiago Alves will face off against Tim Means at UFC on ESPN 7 in Capital One Arena in Washington, DC on Saturday, December 7, 2019. The opener has Alves coming in at +130 while Means is priced at -160.

Thiago "Pitbull" Alves holds a career mark of 28-14-0. The 36-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and measures 5' 9". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Tim "The Dirty Bird" Means stands 6' 2" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 28-11-1. The 35-year-old has a reach of 75". In terms of significant strikes, Thiago Alves lands 3.72 per min and Tim Means is connecting on 4.82 significant strikes per min. Alves is connecting on 41% of the significant strikes he tries while Means is connecting on 45%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Pitbull" absorbs 3.37 significant strikes per min while "The Dirty Bird" absorbs 3.31. Alves also curbs 62% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Means stops 62% of the shots thrown his way.

Regarding wrestling, Thiago Alves is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents down 0.71 times per 15 min. Alves is taking his opponents to the canvas on 60% of his attempts and stopping 62% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Means is scoring a takedown on 52% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 63% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of going for the submission, Alves is the more skilled fighter by going for 0.3 subs per 15 minutes while Means attempts 0.2 subs per 15 minutes.

In his previous bout, Thiago Alves fought Laureano Staropoli and wound up losing the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Staropoli landed 57 of 205 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Alves walked away from this fight having landed 59 of 148 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Staropoli ended up landing 54 of 202, which gave him a percentage of 26%. He finished the fight landing 37 of 167 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Alves landed 39% of his significant strikes by landing 58 of 147. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 27 of 107 pointed at the head. 98% of the significant strikes landed by Staropoli and 93% of them connected on by Alves were done at distance.

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In the last fight for Tim Means, he battled Niko Price and took a loss on the night via a punch to the head in round 1. Price connected on 71% of his significant strikes at distance while Means landed 77% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Means landed 64% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 31 of 48. He landed 27 of 44 significant strikes aimed at the head. Price connected on 32 of 67 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 21 of 48 to the head. In terms of the strikes he fired off in this contest, Price landed 36 of 73 while Means landed 35 of 54 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Bryce Mitchell will battle Matt Sayles. Mitchell will be looking to add a win to his record of 11-1-0. The 25-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and measures 5' 10". The southpaw fighter reaches 69". Sayles stands 5' 7" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 8-2-0. The 25-year-old has a wingspan of 68". In terms of takedowns, Bryce Mitchell gets a takedown 1.50 times per 3 rds while Matt Sayles takes his opponents down 0.32 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Mitchell tags his opponents 1.83 strikes per min and is landing 48% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Matt Sayles, who tags the opposition on 41% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 6.16 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Trevor Smith is set to square up with Makhmud Muradov. Muradov comes into this fight with a mark of 23-6-0. The 29-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and stands 6' 2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Smith comes in at 6' 3" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 15-9-0. The 38-year-old has an arm span of 75". In terms of wrestling, Makhmud Muradov stops 100% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents to the mat on 10% of his attempts. Smith is taking his opponents down on 32% of his tries and is able to curb 62% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Muradov is taking 2.40 strikes/minute and he lands 3.60 per min. Smith, in contrast, is taking 3.02 strikes/minute and connects on 3.34 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Thiago Alves (+130)

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