Stephen Thompson vs Vicente Luque UFC Point Spread Picks - 11/2/2019

Stephen Thompson vs Vicente Luque

UFC 244

Madison Square Garden

Saturday, November 2, 2019

Stephen Thompson will face off against Vicente Luque at UFC 244 in Madison Square Garden on Saturday, November 2, 2019. The odds have Thompson priced at -129 while Luque is at +101.

Stephen "Wonderboy" Thompson will be looking to add a win to his career record of 14-4-1. The 36-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and stands in at 6' 0". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Vicente "The Silent Assassin" Luque stands 5' 11" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 17-6-1. The 27-year-old extends his reach 75". Regarding significant strikes, Stephen Thompson connects on 3.52 per min and Vicente Luque connects on 5.19 significant strikes per minute. Thompson connects on 42% of the significant strikes he tries and Luque connects on 55%. In terms of defending in the cage, "Wonderboy" allows 2.54 significant strikes per minute while "The Silent Assassin" allows 4.72. Thompson also curbs 60% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Luque stops 53% of the shots thrown in his direction.

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When it comes to grappling, Stephen Thompson is not as effective of a grappler as he takes his opponents down 0.39 times per 3 rds. Thompson is finishing his takedown attempts on 45% of his tries and is defending 78% of the takedowns his opponents try. Luque is finishing his takedowns on 50% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 64% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Thompson is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0 subs per 3 rounds while Luque looks to get 1.1 subs per 15 min.

The last time he fought, Stephen Thompson fought Anthony Pettis and ended up walking away in defeat by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Pettis landed 32 of 55 total strikes attempted in that contest. Thompson ended the night having landed 47 of 107 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Pettis ended up landing 32 of 55, which gave him a rate of 58%. He finished the fight landing 5 of 21 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Thompson landed 43% of his significant strikes by sticking 47 of 107. Of those significant strikes, he landed 28 of 70 aimed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes connected on by Pettis and 100% of them connected on by Thompson were tallied at a distance.

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In the last bout for Vicente Luque, he squared up with Mike Perry and wound up taking home the win by way of split decision in round 3. Perry landed 86% of his significant strikes at distance and Luque ended up landing 98% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Luque ended up landing 46% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 84 of 179. He ended up landing 43 of 125 significant strikes aimed at the head. Perry ended up connecting on 87 of 175 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 56 of 135 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go, Perry ended up connecting on 116 of 204 while Luque was 85 of 180 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Derrick Lewis will meet Blagoy Ivanov. Lewis holds a record of 21-7-0. The 34-year-old weighs in at 260 lbs and measures in at 6' 3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 79". Ivanov stands in at 5' 11" and is weighing in at 250 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career mark of 18-2-0. The 33-year-old has a reach of 73". In the grappling category, Derrick Lewis gets his opposition to the mat 0.47 times per 15 min while Blagoy Ivanov takes his opponents down 0.55 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Lewis lands an average of 2.69 strikes/min and is landing 50% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Blagoy Ivanov, who tags the opposition on 36% of the strikes he has thrown and lands 3.56 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Gregor Gillespie is set to go up against Kevin Lee. Lee steps into the cage holding a record of 17-5-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and comes in at 5' 9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 77". Gillespie stands in at 5' 7" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 13-0-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 71". Concerning grappling, Kevin Lee defends against 73% of his opponents' takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 42% of his attempts. Gillespie is finishing his takedown tries on 48% of the tries he takes and is able to prevent 0% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Lee is taking 3.18 strikes per minute while he deals 3.84 strikes/min. Gillespie, on the other hand, is taking 1.81 strikes per minute and deals 3.60 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Vicente Luque (+101)

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