Shane Burgos vs Makwan Amirkhani Predictions, Picks, UFC 244 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/25/2019

Shane Burgos vs Makwan Amirkhani

UFC 244

Madison Square Garden

Saturday, November 2, 2019

Shane Burgos will face off with Makwan Amirkhani at UFC 244 in Madison Square Garden on Saturday, November 2, 2019. The opener has Burgos at -179 while Amirkhani is coming in at +151.

Shane "Hurricane" Burgos looks to add a win to his career record of 12-1-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and measures 5' 11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Makwan "Mr. Finland" Amirkhani measures 5' 10" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 15-3-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 72". With respect to significant strikes, Shane Burgos lands 7.06 per minute and Makwan Amirkhani is connecting on 1.62 significant strikes per minute. Burgos connects on 47% of the significant strikes he attempts and Amirkhani is landing 47%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Hurricane" absorbs 6.14 significant strikes per min and "Mr. Finland" allows 1.62. Burgos also prevents 62% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Amirkhani is able to defend against 61% of them.

Concerning grappling, Shane Burgos is the not as competent as a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.43 times per 15 min. Burgos is finishing his takedown attempts on all of his attempts and stuffing 94% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Amirkhani is taking his opponents to the canvas on 48% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 57% of the attempts against him. Regarding submissions, Burgos is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.2 subs per 15 min while Amirkhani looks to get 1.6 subs per 3 rounds.

The last time he fought, Shane Burgos fought Cub Swanson and got a win for the night via split decision in round 3. Swanson landed 132 of 260 total strikes attempted in that contest. Burgos finished this fight landing 147 of 282 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Swanson ended up landing 129 of 256, which gave him a rate of 50%. He finished the fight landing 66 of 167 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Burgos ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes by connecting on 134 of 268. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 82 of 208 pointed at the head. 87% of the significant strikes connected on by Swanson and 95% of them connected on by Burgos were tallied at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Makwan Amirkhani, he went up against Chris Fishgold and ended up getting the victory via an anaconda choke in round 2. Fishgold connected on all of his significant strikes at distance and Amirkhani connected on 66% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Amirkhani landed 33% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 9 of 27. He ended up landing 6 of 21 significant strikes aimed at the head. Fishgold ended up connecting on 16 of 52 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 4 of 30 to the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Fishgold ended up landing 16 of 52 and Amirkhani ended up landing 18 of 36 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Brad Tavares will square up with Edmen Shahbazyan. Tavares looks to add a victory to his total of 17-6-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and measures in at 6' 1". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 74". Shahbazyan measures 6' 2" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 10-0-0. The 21-year-old has an arm span of 74". In the grappling category, Brad Tavares takes his opponents to the mat 1.04 times per 3 rds and Edmen Shahbazyan takes his opponents down 7.71 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Tavares connects for an average of 3.02 strikes per min and is connecting on 40% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Edmen Shahbazyan, who lands 58% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 3.89 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Jairzinho Rozenstruik is set to face off with Andrei Arlovski. Arlovski steps into the cage holding a mark of 28-18-0. The 40-year-old weighs 240 lbs and stands in at 6' 3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 77". Rozenstruik stands in at 6' 4" and records a weight of 242 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his total of 8-0-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 78". Concerning grappling, Andrei Arlovski is able to thwart 79% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown tries on 36% of the times he tries. Rozenstruik is finishing his takedowns on 0% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 66% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Arlovski absorbs 2.68 strikes per minute and he is connecting on 3.54 per min. Rozenstruik, moreover, is taking 2.98 strikes per minute and is dishing out 3.80 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Makwan Amirkhani (+151)

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