Sergio Moraes vs James Krause Expert UFC Picks - 11/16/2019

Sergio Moraes vs James Krause

UFC Fight Night 164

Ginasio do Ibirapuera in Paraiso Brazil

Saturday, November 16, 2019

Sergio Moraes will enter the Octagon against James Krause at UFC Fight Night 164 in Ginasio do Ibirapuera in Paraiso Brazil on Saturday, November 16, 2019. The odds have Moraes coming in at +162 while Krause is at -225.

Sergio "The Panther" Moraes will be looking to add a victory to his total of 14-6-1. The 37-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures in at 6' 0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". James "The" Krause comes in at 6' 2" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 25-8-0. The 33-year-old reaches 73". In the category of significant strikes, Sergio Moraes lands 2.38 per min and James Krause connects on 4.57 significant strikes per min. Moraes lands 42% of the significant strikes he tries and Krause connects on 46%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "The Panther" takes 3.43 significant strikes per minute and "The" absorbs 4.15. Moraes also defends 62% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Krause curbs 61% of them.

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In the grappling category, Sergio Moraes is the more apt grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.22 times per 15 min. Moraes is taking his opponents to the canvas on 40% of his tries and is defending 75% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Krause is finishing his takedowns on 18% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 46% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to going for the sub, Moraes is less likely to go for the finish by going for 0.5 finishes per 3 rds while Krause attempts 0.7 finishes per 3 rds.

In his previous fight, Sergio Moraes squared up with Warlley Alves and ended up taking the loss by way of a punch to the head in round 3. Alves landed 72 of 157 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Moraes ended the night having landed 20 of 62 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Alves ended up landing 72 of 157, giving him a percentage of 45%. He ended up landing 36 of 107 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Moraes landed 32% of his significant strikes by connecting on 20 of 62. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 12 of 52 pointed at the head. 97% of the significant strikes landed by Alves and 95% of them connected on by Moraes were done at a distance.

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In the last bout for James Krause, he battled Warlley Alves and wound up taking home the victory via a flying knee to the head in round 2. Alves connected on 64% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Krause connected on 72% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Krause connected on 55% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 59 of 106. He ended up connecting on 43 of 83 significant strikes to the head. Alves connected on 28 of 64 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 20 of 47 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Alves landed 39 of 78 while Krause ended up landing 79 of 126 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Ricardo Ramos will square up in the Octagon with Luiz Eduardo Garagorri. Ramos walks into the cage with a mark of 13-2-0. The 24-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands in at 5' 6". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 69". Eduardo Garagorri stands in at 5' 9" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 13-0-0. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 70". When it comes to grappling, Ricardo Ramos is averaging a takedown 1.77 times per 15 min while Luiz Eduardo Garagorri takes his opponents down 1.00 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Ramos tags his opponents 3.08 strikes per min and is connecting on 40% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Luiz Eduardo Garagorri, who tags his opponent on 56% of his attempted strikes and is landing 4.33 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Bobby Green is set to take on Francisco Trinaldo. Trinaldo has a mark of 23-7-0. The 41-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands 5' 9". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 70". Green measures 5' 10" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 24-9-1. The 33-year-old extends his reach 71". In terms of grappling, Francisco Trinaldo is able to curb 63% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 45% of the times he tries. Green is taking his opponents to the mat on 25% of his attempts and stops 75% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Trinaldo takes 2.42 strikes per min while he connects on 3.16 per min. Green, moreover, is absorbing 3.87 strikes/min and lands 5.11 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Sergio Moraes (+162)

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