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Matt Frevola vs Luis Pena UFC Point Spread Picks - 10/12/2019


by - 9/29/2019

Luis Pena UFC

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Matt Frevola vs Luis Pena

UFC Fight Night 161

Amalie Arena in Tampa

Saturday, October 12, 2019

Matt Frevola will face off with Luis Pena at UFC Fight Night 161 in Amalie Arena in Tampa on Saturday, October 12, 2019. The opening odds have Frevola priced at +131 while Pena is coming in at -159.

Matt "The SteamRolla" Frevola walks into the Octagon with a mark of 7-1-1. The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and measures in at 5' 9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Luis "Violent Bob Ross" Pena comes in at 6' 3" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 7-1-0. The 26-year-old extends his reach 75". Regarding significant strikes, Matt Frevola lands 3.19 per minute while Luis Pena is connecting on 3.80 significant strikes per minute. Frevola lands 37% of the significant strikes he tries while Pena lands 46%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "The SteamRolla" allows 3.49 significant strikes per minute while "Violent Bob Ross" takes 2.59. Frevola also prevents 61% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Pena is able to thwart 50% of the shots thrown in his direction.

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When it comes to takedowns, Matt Frevola is the more competent grappler as he is able to score a takedown 3.04 times per 3 rds. Frevola is getting his opponent to the mat on 34% of his attempts and stopping 83% of all takedown attempts. Pena is taking his opponents to the canvas on 28% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 50% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Frevola is the more skilled of the two fighters by going for 1.9 submissions per 15 minutes while Pena goes for 0.7 submissions per 15 min.

In his last bout, Matt Frevola fought Jalin Turner and wound up taking home the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Turner landed 42 of 124 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Frevola finished this fight landing 49 of 95 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Turner landed 35 of 116, which means his percentage was 30%. He finished the fight landing 27 of 101 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Frevola ended up landing 40% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 31 of 77. Out of those significant strikes, he was 18 of 50 to the head. 88% of the significant strikes connected on by Turner and 77% of them connected on by Frevola were tallied at distance.

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In the last fight for Luis Pena, he battled Matt Wiman and took home the victory via a punch to the head while on the ground in round 3. Wiman connected on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Pena landed 20% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Pena ended up connecting on 58% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 87 of 148. He connected on 84 of 144 significant strikes aimed at the head. Wiman connected on 24 of 42 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 2 of 18 to the head. In regard to total strikes thrown, Wiman was 28 of 46 and Pena connected on 98 of 160 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to keep an eye on

In another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Eryk Anders will face off against Gerald Meerschaert. Anders comes into this bout with a mark of 12-4-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and measures in at 6' 1". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Meerschaert stands in at 6' 1" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight with a record of 29-11-0. The 31-year-old stretches 77". In terms of takedowns, Eryk Anders takes his opponents to the canvas 1.73 times per 15 min while Gerald Meerschaert is able to score a takedown 3.18 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Anders is landing 2.89 strikes per min and connecting on 48% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Gerald Meerschaert, who tags his opponent on 46% of the strikes he has tried and lands 2.22 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when James Vick is set to square up in the Octagon against Niko Price. Price walks into the Octagon with a record of 13-3-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and stands in at 6' 0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 76". Vick measures 6' 3" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 13-4-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 76". In the category of takedowns, Niko Price is able to deflect 61% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 25% of his tries. Vick is finishing his takedown tries on 33% of the tries he takes and is able to prevent 56% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Price is absorbing 4.44 strikes per minute while he lands 2.96 per minute. Vick, notwithstanding, absorbs 3.26 strikes per minute and lands 4.11 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Luis Pena (-159)

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