Matt Brown vs Ben Saunders Predictions, Picks, UFC 245 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 12/5/2019

Matt Brown vs Ben Saunders

UFC 245

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, December 14, 2019

Matt Brown will battle Ben Saunders at UFC 245 in T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday, December 14, 2019. The moneyline has Brown coming in at -360 while Saunders is priced at +270.

Matt "The Immortal" Brown walks into the cage holding a mark of 23-16-0. The 38-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures in at 6' 0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Ben "Killa B" Saunders comes in at 6' 2" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 22-12-2. The 36-year-old stretches 77". When talking about significant strikes, Matt Brown lands 3.78 per min and Ben Saunders lands 3.37 significant strikes per minute. Brown is connecting on 53% of the significant strikes he tries and Saunders connects on 50%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "The Immortal" takes 2.64 significant strikes per min while "Killa B" allows 3.61. Brown also stops 56% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Saunders defends against 51% of the shots thrown.

Concerning takedowns, Matt Brown is the more capable grappler as he is averaging a takedown 1.57 times per 3 rounds. Brown is getting his opponent to the mat on 46% of the times he tries and is stuffing 63% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Saunders is taking his opponents down on 40% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 68% of the tries against him. Regarding subbing the opposition, Brown is the more apt fighter by trying 1.6 finishes per 3 rounds while Saunders goes for 1.0 finish per 15 minutes.

In his previous fight, Matt Brown squared up with Diego Sanchez and wound up getting the win by way of an elbow to the head in round 1. Sanchez landed 13 of 21 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Brown walked away from this fight having landed 20 of 36 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Sanchez ended up landing 12 of 20, which means his percentage was 60%. He landed 7 of 12 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Brown ended up landing 52% of his significant strikes by landing 18 of 34. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 14 of 30 pointed at the head. 83% of the significant strikes landed by Sanchez and 66% of them connected on by Brown were done at distance.

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In the last fight for Ben Saunders, he went up against Takashi Sato and walked away in defeat by an elbow to the head in round 2. Sato ended up connecting on 46% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Saunders ended up connecting on 63% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Saunders ended up connecting on 51% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 46 of 90. He landed 9 of 46 significant strikes directed at the head. Sato ended up landing 28 of 69 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 25 of 64 to the head. In relation to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Sato ended up connecting on 33 of 74 and Saunders was 47 of 91 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Brandon Moreno will square up against Kai Kara-France. Moreno will be looking to add a victory to his total of 15-5-1. The 25-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands in at 5' 7". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Kara-France comes in at 5' 4" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 20-7-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 69". Regarding grappling, Brandon Moreno gets his opposition to the mat 2.39 times per 15 min while Kai Kara-France takes his opponents down 1.05 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Moreno tags his opponents 2.58 strikes/min and landing 34% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Kai Kara-France, who is landing 43% of the strikes he has thrown and lands 5.22 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Mike Perry is set to meet Geoff Neal. Neal looks to add a victory to his record of 12-2-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and stands 5' 11". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 75". Perry comes in at 5' 10" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his total of 13-5-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 71". Regarding wrestling, Geoff Neal is preventing 92% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 50% of the times he tries. Perry is taking his opponents down on 41% of the tries he takes and stops 70% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Neal absorbs 3.58 strikes per min and he is connecting on 5.86 strikes/minute. Perry, notwithstanding, takes 4.43 strikes/min and is connecting on 4.28 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Matt Brown (-360)

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