Marvin Vettori vs Andrew Sanchez Predictions, Picks, UFC Fight Night 161 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/29/2019

Marvin Vettori vs Andrew Sanchez

UFC Fight Night 161

Amalie Arena in Tampa

Saturday, October 12, 2019

Marvin Vettori will face off against Andrew Sanchez at UFC Fight Night 161 in Amalie Arena in Tampa on Saturday, October 12, 2019. The opening moneyline has Vettori priced at -258 while Sanchez is at +202.

Marvin "The Italian Dream" Vettori steps into the cage holding a record of 13-4-1. The 26-year-old weighs 185 lbs and measures in at 6' 0". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 74". Andrew "El Dirte" Sanchez measures in at 6' 1" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 12-4-0. The 31-year-old reaches 74". In the category of significant strikes, Marvin Vettori is landing 3.75 per min and Andrew Sanchez is connecting on 4.82 significant strikes per min. Vettori lands 42% of the significant strikes he tries while Sanchez lands 48%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "The Italian Dream" takes 2.89 significant strikes per min and "El Dirte" allows 4.79. Vettori also deflects 63% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Sanchez stops 48% of the shots thrown his way.

When it comes to takedowns, Marvin Vettori is the lesser skilled wrestler as he gets a takedown 1.70 times per 15 min. Vettori is finishing his takedown attempts on 45% of his attempts and is stuffing 79% of all takedown tries against him. Sanchez is getting his opponent to the mat on 34% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 100% of the tries against him. Regarding sub attempts, Vettori is the more capable fighter by trying 0.8 finishes per 3 rds while Sanchez hasn't attempted any finishes in the UFC.

The last time he fought, Marvin Vettori fought Cezar Ferreira and got a win for the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Ferreira landed 41 of 90 total strikes attempted in that contest. Vettori finished this fight landing 106 of 176 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Ferreira ended up landing 39 of 88, which gave him a rate of 44%. He ended up landing 17 of 54 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Vettori landed 52% of his significant strikes by sticking 78 of 148. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 69 of 137 pointed at the head. 84% of the significant strikes connected on by Ferreira and 64% of them connected on by Vettori were done at distance.

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In the last fight for Andrew Sanchez, he fought Marc-Andre Barriault and wound up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Barriault ended up connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Sanchez ended up connecting on 75% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Sanchez landed 48% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 72 of 148. He ended up connecting on 44 of 112 significant strikes directed at the head. Barriault landed 69 of 130 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 55 of 114 aimed at the head. Relating to the strikes he fired off in this contest, Barriault landed 76 of 137 while Sanchez ended up connecting on 102 of 181 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Marlon Vera will face off against Andre Ewell. Vera steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 14-5-1. The 26-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures in at 5' 8". The switch fighter reaches 70". Ewell comes in at 5' 8" and will fight at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 15-5-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 75". When it comes to grappling, Marlon Vera scores a takedown 0.84 times per 3 rounds and Andre Ewell scores a takedown 0.34 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Vera connects for an average of 3.15 strikes per minute and connects on 45% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Andre Ewell, who connects on 39% of the strikes he has attempted and is landing 3.19 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Kron Gracie is set to fight Cub Swanson. Swanson steps into the cage with a record of 25-11-0. The 35-year-old weighs 145 lbs and comes in at 5' 8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70". Gracie stands 5' 9" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 5-0-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 70". In terms of grappling, Cub Swanson is able to prevent 60% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of his tries. Gracie is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of the tries he takes. Concerning striking, Swanson is taking 3.55 strikes/minute while he is dishing out 4.38 strikes/minute. Gracie, on the other hand, is absorbing 1.90 strikes per min and is landing 0.95 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Andrew Sanchez (+202)

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