Marlon Moraes vs Jose Aldo MMA Betting Tips - 12/14/2019

Marlon Moraes vs Jose Aldo

UFC 245

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, December 14, 2019

Marlon Moraes will battle Jose Aldo at UFC 245 in T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday, December 14, 2019. The line has Moraes at -200 while Aldo is coming in at +160.

Marlon "Magic" Moraes comes into this fight with a record of 22-6-1. The 31-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures 5' 6". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 67". Jose Aldo comes in at 5' 7" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 28-5-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 70". Regarding significant strikes, Marlon Moraes connects on 3.41 per min while Jose Aldo is connecting on 3.45 significant strikes per minute. Moraes is landing 38% of the significant strikes he tries while Aldo is connecting on 44%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Magic" allows 3.63 significant strikes per minute and Aldo absorbs 3.14. Moraes also defends 58% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Aldo thwarts 65% of the shots thrown.

Related: Gambling 101 Series - How Odds are Calculated - Docs Sports

Concerning takedowns, Marlon Moraes is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.30 times per 15 minutes. Moraes is scoring a takedown on 16% of his tries and stuffing 66% of all takedown attempts. Aldo is scoring a takedown on 65% of his takedown tries and defending 92% of the tries against him. In terms of subbing the opposition, Moraes is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 0.6 subs per 15 min while Aldo tries 0.2 subs per 3 rounds.

In his last fight, Marlon Moraes squared up with Henry Cejudo and was defeated via a punch to the head while on the ground in round 3. Cejudo landed 99 of 182 total strikes that he let go. Moraes walked away from this fight having landed 59 of 121 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Cejudo landed 90 of 171, which gave him a rate of 52%. He ended up landing 73 of 150 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Moraes landed 47% of his significant strikes by connecting on 57 of 119. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 35 of 89 aimed at the head. 50% of the significant strikes landed by Cejudo and 94% of them landed by Moraes were tallied at distance.

Related: Get UFC predictions

In the last Octagon appearance for Jose Aldo, he battled Alexander Volkanovski and ended up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Volkanovski ended up connecting on 70% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Aldo landed 89% of his significant strikes at distance. Aldo ended up connecting on 36% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 29 of 79. He ended up landing 19 of 63 significant strikes to the head. Volkanovski landed 95 of 176 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 28 of 93 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown in that contest, Volkanovski connected on 129 of 215 while Aldo was 39 of 90 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Petr Yan will oppose Urijah Faber. Yan walks into the cage holding a mark of 13-1-0. The 26-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures in at 5' 7". The switch fighter extends his reach 67". Faber measures 5' 6" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 35-10-0. The 40-year-old has an arm span of 67". In the grappling category, Petr Yan is able to score a takedown 1.54 times per 15 min while Urijah Faber takes his opponents to the mat 1.59 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Yan connects on 5.76 strikes/minute and connects on 45% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Urijah Faber, who tags his opponent on 41% of his attempted strikes and lands 2.68 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Ben Saunders is set to square up in the Octagon with Matt Brown. Brown walks into the cage holding a mark of 23-16-0. The 38-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures in at 6' 0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Saunders comes in at 6' 2" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 22-12-2. The 36-year-old stretches 77". In the category of takedowns, Matt Brown is thwarting 63% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the mat on 46% of the times he tries. Saunders is finishing his takedowns on 40% of the attempts he tries and is able to prevent 68% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Brown is taking 2.64 strikes/minute while he is dishing out 3.78 strikes/min. Saunders, on the other side, takes 3.61 strikes/min and is dealing 3.37 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Marlon Moraes (-200)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Most Recent UFC Predictions

• Karol Rosa vs Vanessa Melo Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds
• Amanda Ribas vs Paige VanZant Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds
• Jessica Andrade vs Rose Namajunas Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds
• Martin Day vs Davey Grant Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds
• Makwan Amirkhani vs Danny Henry Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds
• Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Muslim Salikhov Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds
• Petr Yan vs Jose Aldo Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds
• Alexander Volkanovski vs Max Holloway Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds
• Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds
• Jordan Griffin vs Youssef Zalal Predictions, Picks, UFC Vegas 4 Odds