Marina Rodriguez vs Cynthia Calvillo Predictions, Picks, UFC on ESPN 7 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 11/21/2019

Marina Rodriguez vs Cynthia Calvillo

UFC on ESPN 7

Capital One Arena in Washington, DC

Saturday, December 7, 2019

Marina Rodriguez will enter the Octagon against Cynthia Calvillo at UFC on ESPN 7 in Capital One Arena in Washington, DC on Saturday, December 7, 2019. The opening line has Rodriguez coming in at +110 while Calvillo is priced at -140.

Marina Rodriguez comes into this bout holding a record of 12-0-1. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and comes in at 5' 6". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Cynthia Calvillo comes in at 5' 4" and will fight at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 8-1-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 64". In terms of significant strikes, Marina Rodriguez is connecting on 6.18 per min and Cynthia Calvillo is connecting on 3.87 significant strikes per min. Rodriguez lands 53% of the significant strikes she attempts and Calvillo connects on 39%. Regarding defending, Rodriguez takes 3.06 significant strikes per min and Calvillo absorbs 3.50. Rodriguez also deflects 58% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way and Calvillo stops 64% of the shots thrown.

Regarding grappling, Marina Rodriguez is not as effective of a wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.62 times per 15 minutes. Rodriguez is scoring a takedown on 33% of her tries and stopping 84% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Calvillo is taking her opponents to the canvas on 36% of the takedowns she tries and stuffing 69% of all takedowns attempted on her. When it comes to subbing the opposition, Rodriguez is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.3 submissions per 15 min while Calvillo looks to get 2.0 submissions per 3 rds.

In her previous fight, Marina Rodriguez fought Tecia Torres and ended up winning this fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Torres ended up landing 58 of 126 total strikes attempted in that fight. Rodriguez finished this fight landing 98 of 186 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Torres landed 41 of 108, which gave her a rate of 37%. She ended up landing 17 of 70 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Rodriguez landed 50% of her significant strikes by landing 84 of 167. Of those significant strikes, she was 31 of 91 pointed at the head. 70% of the significant strikes landed by Torres and 52% of them connected on by Rodriguez were tallied at a distance.

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In the last bout for Cynthia Calvillo, she faced off with Cortney Casey and wound up taking home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Casey landed 98% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance and Calvillo landed 96% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Calvillo ended up connecting on 42% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 82 of 192. She ended up connecting on 41 of 139 significant strikes to the head. Casey ended up connecting on 73 of 176 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she landed 41 of 136 to the head. When discussing total strikes that she threw in that fight, Casey ended up landing 73 of 177 and Calvillo ended up connecting on 82 of 192 of all the strikes she threw.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Livinha Souza will go up against Virna Jandiroba. Souza walks into the cage with a record of 13-2-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and measures 5' 3". The orthodox fighter reaches 63". Jandiroba stands 5' 3" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her record of 14-1-0. The 31-year-old reaches 64". In terms of takedowns, Livinha Souza is able to score a takedown 3.35 times per 3 rds and Virna Jandiroba takes her opponents to the mat 3.00 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Souza connects for an average of 1.79 strikes per minute and connects on 37% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Virna Jandiroba, who is landing 45% of the strikes she has thrown and lands an average of 1.13 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Jairzinho Rozenstruik is set to take on Alistair Overeem. Overeem steps into the cage with a record of 45-17-0. The 39-year-old will fight at 265 lbs and measures 6' 4". The orthodox fighter stretches 80". Rozenstruik stands 6' 4" and will fight at 242 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 9-0-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 78". In the category of takedowns, Alistair Overeem is able to curb 73% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown attempts on 60% of his attempts. Rozenstruik is finishing his takedown tries on 10% of his tries and curbs 66% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Overeem takes 2.04 strikes per minute and he lands 3.59 per minute. Rozenstruik, in contrast, is taking 3.37 strikes/minute and is connecting on 4.29 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Marina Rodriguez (+110)

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