Makhmud Muradov vs Trevor Smith Predictions, Picks, UFC on ESPN 7 Odds

by Tony Sink - 11/21/2019

Makhmud Muradov vs Trevor Smith

UFC on ESPN 7

Capital One Arena in Washington, DC

Saturday, December 7, 2019

Makhmud Muradov will enter the Octagon with Trevor Smith at UFC on ESPN 7 in Capital One Arena in Washington, DC on Saturday, December 7, 2019. The line has Muradov coming in at -260 while Smith is at +200.

Makhmud "Mach" Muradov comes into this fight with a mark of 23-6-0. The 29-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and stands 6' 2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Trevor "Hot Sauce" Smith comes in at 6' 3" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 15-9-0. The 38-year-old has an arm span of 75". Concerning significant strikes, Makhmud Muradov connects on 3.60 per minute and Trevor Smith is connecting on 3.34 significant strikes per minute. Muradov connects on 31% of the significant strikes he attempts while Smith lands 57%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Mach" allows 2.40 significant strikes per min while "Hot Sauce" allows 3.02. Muradov also curbs 68% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Smith defends against 51% of them.

In the wrestling category, Makhmud Muradov is the lesser skilled grappler as he gets a takedown 0.58 times per 3 rounds. Muradov is taking his opponents to the canvas on 10% of the times he tries and defending 94% of all takedown attempts. Smith is finishing his takedowns on 32% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 62% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Muradov is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.4 subs per 15 min while Smith goes for 0.8 subs per 3 rds.

The last time he fought, Makhmud Muradov squared up with Alessio Di Chirico and ended up getting the victory in the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Chirico ended up landing 37 of 114 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Muradov walked away from this fight having landed 56 of 171 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Chirico landed 36 of 113, which means his percentage was 31%. He ended up landing 31 of 100 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Muradov ended up landing 31% of his significant strikes by connecting on 54 of 169. Of all the significant strikes, he was 32 of 133 to the head. 83% of the significant strikes connected on by Chirico and 90% of them landed by Muradov were tallied at distance.

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In the last bout for Trevor Smith, he faced off with Zak Cummings and ended up walking away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Cummings connected on 85% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Smith landed 75% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Smith ended up landing 52% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 54 of 103. He connected on 42 of 85 significant strikes aimed at the head. Cummings connected on 56 of 139 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he landed 30 of 108 to the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go, Cummings connected on 63 of 147 while Smith ended up landing 73 of 128 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Marina Rodriguez will meet Cynthia Calvillo. Rodriguez comes into this bout holding a record of 12-0-1. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and comes in at 5' 6". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Calvillo comes in at 5' 4" and will fight at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 8-1-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 64". In terms of takedowns, Marina Rodriguez gets a takedown 0.62 times per 15 min while Cynthia Calvillo takes her opponents to the canvas 1.57 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Rodriguez connects on 6.18 strikes per minute and connecting on 53% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Cynthia Calvillo, who is landing 39% of the strikes she attempts and connects for an average of 3.87 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Ben Rothwell is set to go up against Stefan Struve. Struve steps into the cage holding a mark of 33-11-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 265 lbs and measures 6' 11". The orthodox fighter stretches 84". Rothwell comes in at 6' 4" and is fighting at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 36-12-0. The 38-year-old has a wingspan of 78". When it comes to takedowns, Stefan Struve is thwarting 54% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedowns on 53% of his tries. Rothwell is taking his opponents to the mat on 34% of his attempts and is able to prevent 69% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Struve takes 3.89 strikes/min and he is landing 3.01 per minute. Rothwell, on the other hand, takes 4.53 strikes per minute and is dishing out 3.20 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Makhmud Muradov (-260)

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Makhmud Muradov vs Trevor Smith UFC Predictions & Tips - 12/7/2019

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