Mackenzie Dern vs Amanda Ribas Expert UFC Picks - 10/12/2019
Mackenzie Dern vs Amanda Ribas
UFC Fight Night 161
Amalie Arena in Tampa
Saturday, October 12, 2019
Mackenzie Dern will take on Amanda Ribas at UFC Fight Night 161 in Amalie Arena in Tampa on Saturday, October 12, 2019. The line has Dern priced at -235 while Ribas is priced at +185.
Mackenzie Dern will be looking to add a victory to her total of 7-0-0. The 26-year-old is weighing in at 115 lbs and measures in at 5' 4". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 63". Amanda Ribas measures in at 5' 3" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 7-1-0. The 26-year-old reaches 66". When talking about significant strikes, Mackenzie Dern is landing 4.87 per min and Amanda Ribas lands 2.93 significant strikes per minute. Dern is landing 48% of the significant strikes she tries while Ribas lands 51%. In terms of defending themselves, Dern absorbs 3.32 significant strikes per min and Ribas absorbs 0.98. Dern also prevents 65% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Ribas defends against 72% of the strikes thrown her way.
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When it comes to grappling, Mackenzie Dern is not as effective of a wrestler as she takes her opponents down 0.86 times per 3 rds. Dern is getting her opponent to the mat on 16% of her attempts. Ribas is taking her opponents down on 40% of her takedown tries. Regarding going for the sub, Dern is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 1.7 finishes per 3 rounds while Ribas looks to get 4.2 finishes per 3 rounds.
In her last fight, Mackenzie Dern fought Amanda Cooper and took home the victory via rear naked choke in round 1. Cooper landed 6 of 25 of the strikes she let go in total for this contest. Dern ended the night having landed 16 of 33 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Cooper ended up landing 6 of 25, which gave her a percentage of 24%. She ended up landing 5 of 24 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Dern landed 46% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 15 of 32. Of all the significant strikes, she connected on 14 of 30 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Cooper and 60% of them connected on by Dern were done at a distance.
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In the last fight for Amanda Ribas, she battled Emily Whitmire and ended up getting the win by way of rear naked choke in round 2. Whitmire ended up connecting on 57% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Ribas ended up connecting on 47% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Ribas ended up landing 51% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 21 of 41. She ended up landing 16 of 35 significant strikes aimed at the head. Whitmire landed 7 of 25 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she ended up landing 4 of 21 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that she threw in that fight, Whitmire connected on 18 of 37 and Ribas was 67 of 92 total strikes.
Other bouts to watch out for
In another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when JJ Aldrich will meet Lauren Mueller. Aldrich will be looking to add a victory to her career total of 7-3-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands 5' 5". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 67". Mueller measures 5' 5" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 5-2-0. The 27-year-old extends her reach 67". When it comes to grappling, JJ Aldrich takes her opponents to the mat 0.22 times per 3 rds while Lauren Mueller takes her opponents to the canvas 0.61 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Aldrich lands 3.65 strikes/minute and lands 38% out of all the strikes she attempts. Joining her in the Octagon is Lauren Mueller, who is connecting on 43% of the strikes she has attempted and connects on 4.22 per minute.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Michelle Waterson is set to enter the Octagon with Joanna Jedrzejczyk. Jedrejczyk has a record of 15-3-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and comes in at 5' 6". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 65". Waterson comes in at 5' 3" and will fight at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 17-6-0. The 33-year-old extends her reach 62". In terms of grappling, Joanna Jedrzejczyk deflects 80% of the takedowns her opponents attempt and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 66% of her tries. Waterson is taking her opponents to the mat on 65% of her attempts and is able to stop 62% of takedowns her opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Jedrejczyk takes 2.77 strikes/minute and she is dealing 6.07 per min. Waterson, at the same time, absorbs 3.07 strikes per minute and lands 3.61 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take Amanda Ribas (+185)
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