Kevin Lee vs Gregor Gillespie UFC Picks & Predictions - 11/2/2019

Kevin Lee vs Gregor Gillespie

UFC 244

Madison Square Garden

Saturday, November 2, 2019

Kevin Lee will battle Gregor Gillespie at UFC 244 in Madison Square Garden on Saturday, November 2, 2019. The opening odds have Lee priced at +150 while Gillespie is coming in at -185.

Kevin "The Motown Phenom" Lee steps into the cage holding a record of 17-5-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and comes in at 5' 9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 77". Gregor "The Gift" Gillespie stands in at 5' 7" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 13-0-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 71". Concerning significant strikes, Kevin Lee lands 3.84 per min while Gregor Gillespie is connecting on 3.60 significant strikes per min. Lee is landing 42% of the significant strikes he tries while Gillespie is landing 53%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Motown Phenom" takes 3.18 significant strikes per min while "The Gift" absorbs 1.81. Lee also defends against 51% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Gillespie deflects 58% of the strikes thrown his way.

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In terms of grappling, Kevin Lee is the lesser skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 3.27 times per 15 min. Lee is finishing his takedown attempts on 42% of the times he tries and stopping 73% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Gillespie is taking his opponents down on 48% of the takedowns he attempts. When it comes to going for the sub, Lee is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.9 subs per 15 min while Gillespie goes for 1 sub per 3 rds.

In his previous bout, Kevin Lee went up against Rafael Dos Anjos and wound up losing the fight via an arm triangle in round 4. Anjos landed 75 of 126 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Lee finished this fight landing 40 of 102 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Anjos ended up landing 60 of 111, which gave him a rate of 54%. He ended up landing 36 of 83 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Lee ended up landing 36% of his significant strikes by sticking 35 of 97. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 23 of 79 to the head. 55% of the significant strikes landed by Anjos and 77% of them landed by Lee were tallied at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Gregor Gillespie, he fought Yancy Medeiros and got a win for the night by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Medeiros landed all of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Gillespie ended up landing 10% of his significant strikes at distance. Gillespie landed 71% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 51 of 71. He ended up landing 38 of 58 significant strikes aimed at the head. Medeiros connected on 1 of 12 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 1 of 11 to the head. When discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Medeiros ended up landing 1 of 12 while Gillespie was 73 of 95 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Corey Anderson will encounter Johnny Walker. Anderson comes into this fight with a record of 13-4-0. The 30-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and stands 6' 3". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 79". Walker measures 6' 5" and tips the scales at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 17-3-0. The 27-year-old extends his reach 82". In terms of takedowns, Corey Anderson gets his opposition to the mat 4.96 times per 3 rds while Johnny Walker scores a takedown 0.84 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Anderson connects for an average of 4.37 strikes/minute and is landing 46% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Johnny Walker, who tags his opponent on 69% of his attempted strikes and is landing 5.73 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Makwan Amirkhani is set to encounter Shane Burgos. Burgos looks to add a win to his career record of 12-1-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and measures 5' 11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Amirkhani measures 5' 10" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 15-3-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 72". Regarding takedowns, Shane Burgos is thwarting 94% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedowns on 100% of the times he tries. Amirkhani is finishing his takedown tries on 48% of his attempts and is able to curb 57% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Burgos is absorbing 6.14 strikes per min and he connects on 7.06 strikes per min. Amirkhani, at the same time, is absorbing 1.62 strikes/minute and dishes out 1.62 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Gregor Gillespie (-185)

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