Kelvin Gastelum vs Darren Till Predictions, Picks, UFC 244 Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/25/2019

Kelvin Gastelum vs Darren Till

UFC 244

Madison Square Garden

Saturday, November 2, 2019

Kelvin Gastelum will battle Darren Till at UFC 244 in Madison Square Garden on Saturday, November 2, 2019. The opening moneyline has Gastelum priced at -154 while Till is priced at +125.

Kelvin Gastelum steps into the cage with a record of 16-4-0. The 28-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and stands in at 5' 9". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 71". Darren "The Gorilla" Till stands in at 6' 0" and will fight at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his record of 17-2-1. The 26-year-old extends his reach 74". Concerning significant strikes, Kelvin Gastelum lands 3.83 per minute while Darren Till connects on 2.41 significant strikes per min. Gastelum is landing 43% of the significant strikes he attempts and Till lands 46%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, Gastelum allows 3.06 significant strikes per min and "The Gorilla" absorbs 3.09. Gastelum also stops 60% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Till curbs 60% of them.

In terms of wrestling, Kelvin Gastelum is the more competent grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.79 times per 15 min. Gastelum is taking his opponents to the canvas on 37% of the times he tries and is stopping 62% of all takedowns attempted on him. Till is finishing his takedowns on 40% of his takedown tries and stopping 83% of the tries against him. In terms of subbing the opposition, Gastelum is the more experienced of the two fighters by attempting 0.2 finishes per 3 rds while Till attempts 0.0 finishes per 3 rds.

The last time he fought, Kelvin Gastelum squared up with Israel Adesanya and ended up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 5. Adesanya landed 119 of 247 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Gastelum walked away from this fight having landed 92 of 222 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Adesanya ended up landing 109 of 237, which gave him a percentage of 45%. He finished the fight landing 70 of 186 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Gastelum ended up landing 41% of his significant strikes by landing 91 of 220. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 68 of 191 aimed at the head. 91% of the significant strikes connected on by Adesanya and 100% of them connected on by Gastelum were tallied at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Darren Till, he squared up with Jorge Masvidal and wound up taking the loss by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Masvidal landed 88% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Till connected on 95% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Till ended up connecting on 48% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 21 of 43. He ended up landing 17 of 39 significant strikes directed at the head. Masvidal landed 35 of 72 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 18 of 51 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Masvidal ended up connecting on 41 of 79 and Till connected on 22 of 44 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Stephen Thompson will square up against Vicente Luque. Thompson will be looking to add a win to his career record of 14-4-1. The 36-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and stands in at 6' 0". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Luque stands 5' 11" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 17-6-1. The 27-year-old extends his reach 75". In the grappling category, Stephen Thompson is able to score a takedown 0.39 times per 15 min while Vicente Luque takes his opponents to the mat 0.95 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Thompson is landing 3.52 strikes/minute and connects on 42% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Vicente Luque, who tags his opponent on 55% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 5.19 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Blagoy Ivanov is set to battle Derrick Lewis. Lewis holds a record of 21-7-0. The 34-year-old weighs in at 260 lbs and measures in at 6' 3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 79". Ivanov stands in at 5' 11" and is weighing in at 250 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career mark of 18-2-0. The 33-year-old has a reach of 73". In the category of takedowns, Derrick Lewis deflects 53% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents down on 23% of his tries. Ivanov is taking his opponents to the mat on 100% of his attempts and is able to thwart 100% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Lewis is absorbing 2.38 strikes/minute while he deals 2.69 per minute. Ivanov, notwithstanding, takes 4.44 strikes/minute and dishes out 3.56 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Kelvin Gastelum (-154)

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Kelvin Gastelum vs Darren Till UFC Predictions & Tips - 11/2/2019

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