Justin Gaethje vs Donald Cerrone Predictions, Picks, UFC Fight Night 158 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/3/2019

Justin Gaethje vs Donald Cerrone

UFC Fight Night 158

Rogers Arena in Vancouver, BC

Saturday, September 14, 2019

Justin "The Highlight" Gaethje (20-2-0) will battle Donald "Cowboy" Cerrone (36-12-0) at UFC Fight Night 158 in Rogers Arena in Vancouver, BC on Saturday, September 14, 2019. The opening odds have Gaethje priced at -250 while Cerrone is at +210.

Justin "The Highlight" Gaethje comes into the cage with 20 wins and 2 losses. The Arvada, CO standout is 30 years old, weighs in at 155 lbs and stands 5'11" tall. He has a 70.0" reach and fights in the lightweight division. Gaethje has a total of 4 fights in the UFC. The last time he stepped in the cage, Gaethje earned a victory in the 1st round against Edson Barboza by stoppage. In the lightweight division, he is 52nd in strikes with 351 and 229th out of all fighters in the UFC.

When it comes to strike accuracy, Justin Gaethje ranks 204th among fighters in the UFC and 35th in the lightweight division connecting on 54.7% of the strikes he has thrown. He ranks 34th among fighters in the division and 155th among fighters in the UFC for significant strikes with 348. Of those significant strikes, 190 of them were aimed at the head while 33 of them were aimed at the midsection which ranks 45th and 61st respectively among fighters in the division.

At UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick, he earned a victory via stoppage in the 1st round when he fought James Vick. Before that, Gaethje was defeated in the 4th round when he fought Dustin Poirier at UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje by stoppage.

Entering the cage for this fight, Donald "Cowboy" Cerrone has a total of 36 wins and 12 losses. The 36-year-old fighting out of Albuquerque, NM measures 6'1" tall and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The USA fighter competes in the lightweight division and has a 73.0" reach. He has earned a total of 30 fights in the UFC. Donald Cerrone took a loss by unanimous decision when he faced Tony Ferguson in his most recent fight at UFC 238 - Chicago 2019. In the matter of strikes, Cerrone is 27th out of all fighters in the UFC and 8th out of all the athletes in the division with 1,278.

In the matter of strike accuracy, he is connecting on 51.6% of the strikes he has thrown which has him sitting at 48th in the lightweight division and 269th among athletes in the UFC. In addition, Cerrone sits at 24th in the lightweight division and 105th among athletes in the UFC with a total of 16 takedowns. Sitting at 77th out of all the athletes in the division and 352nd among athletes in the UFC, Cerrone finishes 27.1% of his takedown tries. With 1,154 significant strikes, he sits at 9th among athletes in the UFC and 2nd out of all the athletes in the division. Cerrone sits at 2nd out of all the athletes in the division for significant strikes pointed at the body with 301 and 7th for significant strikes directed at the head with 525. At UFC Fight Night - Ottawa 2019, he stepped out of the ring with a win via unanimous decision in round 5 when he faced Al Iaquinta. In the fight before that, Cerrone stepped out of the ring with a win in round 2 when he faced Alexander Hernandez at UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw by stoppage.

When looking at this fight with Justin Gaethje and Donald Cerrone, you will want to know how these two fighters stack up to one another. Justin Gaethje has the better eye for striking, landing 54.7% of his strikes which means Donald Cerrone will look to be on the watch for big shots. In relation to physical attributes, let us start by taking a look at Justin Gaethje who is 5'11", while the opponent on the other side of the cage is 6'1". In relation to reach, Gaethje measures 70.0" while Cerrone measures out at 73.0" meaning Gaethje is going to want to close the space so Donald Cerrone won't be able to use it to his advantage. Gaethje is the younger combatant in this fight at 30 years old while Cerrone is the older combatant in this fight at 36 years old. In regard to experience in the UFC, Gaethje has 4 fights which means he has less UFC experience, while Cerrone has compiled a total of 30 fights in the Octagon. When it comes to overall mixed martial arts experience, Gaethje has 20 wins and 2 losses while Donald Cerrone is the owner of an overall fight record of 36 wins and 12 losses.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Justin Gaethje (-250)

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Justin Gaethje vs Donald Cerrone Expert UFC Picks - 9/14/2019

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