Julio Arce vs Hakeem Dawodu UFC Picks & Predictions - 11/2/2019

Julio Arce vs Hakeem Dawodu

UFC 244

Madison Square Garden

Saturday, November 2, 2019

Julio Arce will face off against Hakeem Dawodu at UFC 244 in Madison Square Garden on Saturday, November 2, 2019. The opening odds have Arce priced at +131 while Dawodu is priced at -159.

Julio Arce comes into this bout with a record of 16-3-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and measures in at 5' 7". The southpaw fighter reaches 70". Hakeem "Mean" Dawodu stands in at 5' 8" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 10-1-1. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 73". Regarding significant strikes, Julio Arce lands 4.76 per min and Hakeem Dawodu lands 5.83 significant strikes per minute. Arce is connecting on 38% of the significant strikes he throws and Dawodu lands 48%. In terms of the fighter's defense, Arce absorbs 2.68 significant strikes per min and "Mean" absorbs 2.37. Arce also curbs 69% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Dawodu thwarts 59% of them.

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Concerning wrestling, Julio Arce is the more competent grappler as he takes his opponents down 0.48 times per 3 rds. Arce is taking his opponents to the canvas on 28% of the times he tries and is stuffing 93% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Dawodu is stuffing 88% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to submission attempts, Arce is the more capable fighter by attempting 0.7 submissions per 15 minutes while Dawodu tries 0 submissions per 15 minutes.

In his previous fight, Julio Arce fought Julian Erosa and wound up taking home the victory by a kick to the head in round 3. Erosa ended up landing 46 of 164 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Arce finished this fight landing 74 of 160 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Erosa landed 43 of 160, giving him a percentage of 26%. He finished the fight landing 23 of 129 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Arce ended up landing 46% of his significant strikes by landing 74 of 160. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 61 of 142 to the head. 90% of the significant strikes landed by Erosa and 95% of them connected on by Arce were thrown at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Hakeem Dawodu, he battled Yoshinori Horie and ended up getting the victory in the fight via a kick to the head in round 3. Horie landed 89% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Dawodu ended up landing 47% of his significant strikes at distance. Dawodu ended up connecting on 51% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 80 of 154. He ended up landing 42 of 95 significant strikes directed at the head. Horie landed 39 of 79 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 24 of 62 to the head. In regard to total strikes thrown, Horie landed 41 of 81 while Dawodu ended up landing 89 of 166 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Katlyn Chookagian will meet Jennifer Maia. Chookagian walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 12-2-0. The 30-year-old weighs 125 lbs and comes in at 5' 9". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Maia comes in at 5' 4" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 17-5-1. The 31-year-old reaches 64". When it comes to grappling, Katlyn Chookagian takes her opponents to the mat 0 times per 3 rounds while Jennifer Maia takes her opponents to the canvas 0.20 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Chookagian is landing 4.28 strikes per min and is landing 32% of her attempted strikes. On the other side we have Jennifer Maia, who lands 45% of the strikes she has attempted and connects on 4.11 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Darren Till is set to enter the Octagon against Kelvin Gastelum. Gastelum holds a career record of 16-4-0. The 28-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and stands in at 5' 9". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 71". Till measures in at 6' 0" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 17-2-1. The 26-year-old extends his reach 74". In terms of grappling, Kelvin Gastelum thwarts 62% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedowns on 37% of his tries. Till is taking his opponents down on 40% of the attempts he tries and deflects 83% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Gastelum takes 3.06 strikes per min and he is dealing 3.83 per minute. Till, at the same time, takes 3.09 strikes/min and lands 2.41 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Hakeem Dawodu (-159)

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