Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs Michelle Waterson Predictions, Picks, UFC Fight Night 161 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/29/2019

Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs Michelle Waterson

UFC Fight Night 161

Amalie Arena in Tampa

Saturday, October 12, 2019

Joanna Jedrzejczyk will face off with Michelle Waterson at UFC Fight Night 161 in Amalie Arena in Tampa on Saturday, October 12, 2019. The opener has Jedrzejczyk coming in at -192 while Waterson is coming in at +153.

Joanna Jedrejczyk has a record of 15-3-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and comes in at 5' 6". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 65". Michelle "The Karate Hottie" Waterson comes in at 5' 3" and will fight at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 17-6-0. The 33-year-old extends her reach 62". Regarding significant strikes, Joanna Jedrzejczyk lands 6.07 per min while Michelle Waterson lands 3.61 significant strikes per min. Jedrejczyk connects on 46% of the significant strikes she tries while Waterson is connecting on 58%. In terms of the fighter's defense, Jedrzejczyk takes 2.77 significant strikes per min while "The Karate Hottie" allows 3.07. Jedrejczyk also thwarts 65% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt while Waterson is able to defend against 51% of the shots thrown in her direction.

In terms of takedowns, Joanna Jedrzejczyk is the not as competent as a wrestler as she takes her opponents down 0.14 times per 15 minutes. Jedrejczyk is getting her opponent to the mat on 66% of her attempts and stopping 80% of all takedown attempts. Waterson is taking her opponents to the canvas on 65% of her takedown attempts and defending 62% of the attempts against her. When it comes to going for the sub, Jedrejczyk is less likely to go for the finish by trying 0 submissions per 15 minutes while Waterson goes for 1.3 submissions per 15 min.

In her previous bout, Joanna Jedrzejczyk squared up with Valentina Shevchenko and ended up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Shevchenko ended up landing 118 of 223 total strikes attempted in that fight. Jedrzejczyk ended the night having landed 124 of 300 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Shevchenko ended up landing 89 of 191, giving her a percentage of 46%. She landed 50 of 135 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Jedrzejczyk landed 31% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 78 of 250. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she was 12 of 133 to the head. 73% of the significant strikes connected on by Shevchenko and 75% of them landed by Jedrzejczyk were tallied at distance.

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In the last fight for Michelle Waterson, she battled Karolina Kowalkiewicz and ended up winning this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Kowalkiewicz landed 73% of her significant strikes at distance and Waterson landed 64% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Waterson ended up landing 42% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 64 of 149. She landed 25 of 93 significant strikes directed at the head. Kowalkiewicz ended up landing 57 of 118 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, she ended up landing 16 of 61 directed at the head. Relating to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Kowalkiewicz was 77 of 141 and Waterson landed 82 of 167 of all the strikes she attempted.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

In another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when JJ Aldrich will meet Lauren Mueller. Aldrich will be looking to add a victory to her career total of 7-3-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands 5' 5". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 67". Mueller measures 5' 5" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 5-2-0. The 27-year-old extends her reach 67". When it comes to grappling, JJ Aldrich takes her opponents to the mat 0.22 times per 3 rds while Lauren Mueller takes her opponents to the canvas 0.61 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Aldrich lands 3.65 strikes/minute and lands 38% out of all the strikes she attempts. Joining her in the Octagon is Lauren Mueller, who is connecting on 43% of the strikes she has attempted and connects on 4.22 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Amanda Ribas is set to enter the Octagon against Mackenzie Dern. Dern will be looking to add a victory to her total of 7-0-0. The 26-year-old is weighing in at 115 lbs and measures in at 5' 4". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 63". Ribas measures in at 5' 3" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 7-1-0. The 26-year-old reaches 66". In terms of wrestling, Mackenzie Dern is taking her opponents to the canvas on 16% of her attempts. Ribas is taking her opponents to the mat on 40% of the attempts she tries. In the category of striking, Dern is absorbing 3.32 strikes/min and she is dealing 4.87 per min. Ribas, on the other side, takes 0.98 strikes/minute and lands 2.93 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Joanna Jedrzejczyk (-192)

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