Jan Blachowicz vs Jacare Souza UFC Predictions & Tips - 11/16/2019

Jan Blachowicz vs Ronaldo Souza

UFC Fight Night 164

Ginasio do Ibirapuera in Paraiso Brazil

Saturday, November 16, 2019

Jan Blachowicz will face off with Ronaldo Souza at UFC Fight Night 164 in Ginasio do Ibirapuera in Paraiso Brazil on Saturday, November 16, 2019. The moneyline has Blachowicz at -190 while Souza is at +155.

Jan Blachowicz looks to add a victory to his career total of 24-8-0. The 36-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and measures in at 6' 2". The orthodox fighter reaches 78". Ronaldo "Jacare" Souza stands in at 6' 1" and weighs 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 26-7-0. The 39-year-old has an arm span of 72". Concerning significant strikes, Jan Blachowicz connects on 3.54 per min and Ronaldo Souza is landing 2.71 significant strikes per min. Blachowicz is connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he throws and Souza connects on 47%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Blachowicz allows 3.11 significant strikes per minute while "Jacare" absorbs 2.81. Blachowicz also curbs 53% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Souza is able to prevent 62% of them.

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Concerning takedowns, Jan Blachowicz is not as effective of a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 1.39 times per 15 min. Blachowicz is scoring a takedown on 52% of his tries and stuffing 60% of all takedowns attempted on him. Souza is finishing his takedowns on 40% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 60% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of subbing opponents, Blachowicz is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.3 submissions per 15 min while Souza goes for 1.5 submissions per 3 rounds.

In his previous fight, Jan Blachowicz faced Luke Rockhold and wound up getting the victory by a punch to the head in round 2. Rockhold ended up landing 17 of 39 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Blachowicz ended the night having landed 38 of 50 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Rockhold ended up landing 14 of 36, giving him a percentage of 38%. He landed 4 of 20 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Blachowicz landed 71% of his significant strikes by connecting on 30 of 42. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 11 of 21 aimed at the head. 64% of the significant strikes landed by Rockhold and 76% of them connected on by Blachowicz were thrown at distance.

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In the last bout for Ronaldo Souza, he faced off with Jack Hermansson and wound up walking away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 5. Hermansson landed 81% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Souza ended up landing 82% of his significant strikes at distance. Souza ended up landing 51% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 90 of 175. He ended up landing 65 of 141 significant strikes aimed at the head. Hermansson connected on 148 of 372 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 96 of 313 to the head. In terms of total strikes thrown in that contest, Hermansson ended up connecting on 256 of 496 and Souza ended up connecting on 120 of 205 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Mauricio Rua will battle Paul Craig. Rua comes into this fight with a record of 26-11-0. The 37-year-old weighs in at 205 lbs and measures 6' 1". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Craig measures in at 6' 3" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 12-4-0. The 31-year-old stretches 76". When it comes to grappling, Mauricio Rua scores a takedown 2.23 times per 3 rounds while Paul Craig takes his opponents to the mat 1.79 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Rua is connecting on 3.72 strikes/minute and connecting on 51% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Paul Craig, who is connecting on 48% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 2.09 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Jared Gordon is set to square up in the Octagon against Charles Oliveira. Oliveira will be looking to add a win to his total of 27-8-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands 5' 10". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 74". Gordon stands 5' 9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 15-3-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 68". Regarding wrestling, Charles Oliveira is thwarting 58% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown tries on 43% of his tries. Gordon is finishing his takedowns on 39% of his attempts and thwarts 50% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Oliveira is taking 3.01 strikes/minute and he connects on 3.18 per min. Gordon, at the same time, absorbs 3.81 strikes/minute and is dealing 6.29 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Jan Blachowicz (-190)

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